Toronto Blue Jays Discussion: How Will the New Stars Fare in Toronto?

Stephen BrownCorrespondent IINovember 15, 2012

MIAMI, FL - SEPTEMBER 01:  Pitcher Josh Johnson #55 of the Miami Marlins throws against the New York Mets at Marlins Park on September 1, 2012 in Miami, Florida.  The Mets defeated the Marlins 3-0.  (Photo by Marc Serota/Getty Images)
Marc Serota/Getty Images

So by now, most of us (save Matthew Appleby) have been quite excited about acquiring some top-tier talent in Toronto after the blockbuster trade with the Miami Marlins saw us acquire ace Josh Johnson, the electric Jose Reyes, Mark Buehrle, Emilio Bonifacio and John Buck.

We have all had our opinion and love to discuss and rave about how we feel the new players will do.

Now is the time to put your money where your mouth is. And by money, I clearly mean just leave a free comment below ;)

As I recently discussed in my breakdown of the trade, I am a big fan of JJ, believe that Buehrle gives us that innings eater we so desperately needed last year, Reyes is one of the most exciting players in the majors and Emilio gives us either a solid 2B or great utility man off the bench.

Many people that I have talked to will continue to mention that JJ’s contract is up at the end of the season. At the same time, we must remember that we acquired a 28-year-old who has multiple All-Star appearances under his belt, an NL ERA title and a 3.15 career ERA.

Let me do a quick little comparison here.

Player A


Age: 28

Career: 60% winning percentage

Career: 8.17 K/9

Career: 3.15 ERA

Only once has he had more than 7 losses in a season

Career: 916.2 Innings Pitched


Player B

Age: 28

Career: 52% winning percentage

Career: 7.49 K/9

Career: 3.27 ERA

Only twice has he had less than 11 LOSSES in a season

Career: 1536.2 Innings Pitched

Okay, so I think we all know that JJ is player A. Now the question is, do you think if we offered Hechavarria, Escobar, Alvarez, Nicolino, Marisnick, Mathis and DeSclafani for player B that we would acquire the highest paid right-handed pitcher in baseball history? I doubt the Giants would give up Matt Cain for that haul right now.

Clearly I am not taking into account postseason success, recent return and the like, nor coming close to stating that JJ is better than Cain (he is not) but career numbers are career numbers. Not to mention the fact that JJ has pitched less than 2/3 the innings that Cain has and thus has less wear and tear on his arm.

I am merely pointing out that getting a pitcher of JJ’s caliber is almost impossible at age 28, and we acquired him along two other All-Stars and another very useful player and…. Buck.

So what’s my point here?

Johnson needs to be re-signed. I have made this clear that he is the gem of this deal and signing him to a long-term deal is the most important decision AA has to make right now.

Lastly, the reason we were able to acquire Johnson is BECAUSE his contract is up at the end of the year. Had he been at the beginning of his current four-year, $39 million contract, there is no way he would have been included in the deal.

Okay, back to the initial point of this article, let us discuss our projections for the top four players acquired in this deal…sorry, Buck:

Johnson: 16-9, 3.65 ERA, 170 IP, 162 K, 1.22 WHIP

Reyes: .304 AVG, 14 HR, 54 RBI, 41 SB, 108 Runs

Buehrle: 13-9, 4.22 ERA, 208 IP, 122 K, 1.24 WHIP

Bonifacio: .279 AVG, 4 HR, 39 RBI, 36 SB, 89 Runs

Discuss below and provide your projections. If you believe that one of these players won’t play a full season then provide both your injury-riddled season stats as well as projection for if they would play a full year.

Lastly, I just found this article that states that Mark Buehrle’s dog Slater won’t be allowed in Toronto due to the provincial ban on pitbulls. Food for thought.

I am just full of use(less)ful information!

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