Tom Szczerbowski-US PRESSWIRE
Evans' X-Factor: Winning the Striking Exchanges
Evans will have a speed advantage on the feet, and he should use it. Get in and get out. If he can make this a stand-up affair and not risk taking it to the ground, he can take this fight with ease.
Nogueira's striking is more diverse than his brother's, but he is still primarily a boxer. Evans has more tools to work with to go along with his speed and power advantage.
The Blackzilian is a smart fighter who gives himself the best opportunities to win, and keeping this fight on the feet does that.
Nogueira's X-Factor: Can He Achieve Top Position?
A big key to his success in this fight will be getting top position, but can he? That's the big question.
He does not have to take Evans down to get it. Should Evans take the fight to the mat, he can sweep the former UFC light heavyweight champion and take it that way. Evans' base may not allow that.
From on top, Nogueira can utilize his ground-and-pound and try to open Evans up for a submission. A win would go a long way for his championship chase. He will likely have to be on top at some point to achieve a victory.