College Football Picks: Louisville vs. Syracuse Odds and Betting Picks

Doc MosemanCorrespondent INovember 5, 2012

LOUISVILLE, KY - NOVEMBER 03:  Charlie Strong the head coach of the Louisville Cardinals talks with Jermaine Reve #27 during the game against the Temple Owls at Papa John's Cardinal Stadium on November 3, 2012 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

The Louisville Cardinals continue their quest for this season’s Big East title this upcoming Saturday afternoon when they tangle with the Syracuse Orange at the Carrier Dome. The game is slated for a 12:00 p.m. (ET) start and it will be broadcast nationally on ABC. 


Louisville was expected to be one of the top teams in the Big East this season, but a perfect 9-0 start has to have surprised even the most diehard of fans. However, anyone who has consistently bet on the Cardinals this season cannot be all that happy with their 4-5 record against the spread, which includes a 2-2 record ATS in conference play.


Syracuse is coming off a 35-24 loss to Cincinnati last Saturday to fall to 4-5 SU and 3-5-1 ATS on the year. They're 3-2 SU at home this season and 2-2-1 ATS with the total going “over” in their last three games.


Louisville vs. Syracuse Betting Story Lines


The big story in Louisville this season has been the play of quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, who is starting to gather support as a potential Heisman Trophy candidate the higher his team climbs in the BCS rankings. He has already thrown for 2,434 yards and 18 touchdowns while completing 70.4 percent of his passes.


DeVante Parker and Damian Copeland have been his two biggest targets in the passing game with a combined 55 receptions for 923 yards, while Senorise Perry and Jeremy Wright have anchored the running game with a combined 1,354 rushing yards and 20 rushing touchdowns.

With a cast of skill players such as these, it is easy to see why Louisville is averaging 34 points a game. The one possible chink in the armor is a defense that has given up 25 points or more in four of the team’s last seven games.


Syracuse has a passing game that is ranked 20th in the nation in yards per game with Ryan Nassib at the helm. He has thrown for 2,773 yards this season, but all the production through the air has not always translated to points on the scoreboard. Through their first nine games, the Orange are averaging 26.4 points a game, which is ranked 74th in the country.


Defense has also been a sore spot for this team at times, giving up an average of 26.1 points a game this season. The Orange have done well this season against some of their weaker competition, but they were blown out against Northwestern and USC earlier in the season and outscored 58-39 in losses to Rutgers and Cincinnati.


Louisville vs. Syracuse Betting Odds and Trends by 5 Dimes


Points spread: Louisville -2.5

Total Line: OFF


The Cardinals are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against the Big East. The total has gone over in five of their last six conference games.


The Orange are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games against the conference. The total has gone over in five of their last seven games at home.


Head-to-head, the underdog in this series is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings and the total has stayed under in six of those games. Louisville is 3-0 SU in the last three meetings, but Syracuse is 5-2 ATS in the last seven games between the two.


College Football Picks: Louisville vs. Syracuse Betting Predictions


In the past, this was the type of matchup that would tend to derail the Cardinals with a bad loss, but not this time around. The disparity in talent between the two teams is just too great and the stakes are just too high for the Cardinals to come up short on Saturday afternoon. Especially with a showdown against No. 23 Rutgers, which should be for the Big East title, still on the horizon.


Take No. 121 Louisville (-2.5) over Syracuse (Saturday, Nov.10, 12 p.m.)