Breeders' Cup 2012: Analysis and Preview of the $1 Million Juvenile Fillies Turf

Joseph CiracoCorrespondent INovember 1, 2012

Joe Talamo will guide Flashy Ways to victory
Joe Talamo will guide Flashy Ways to victoryJeff Golden/Getty Images

Are you looking to win a small fortune tomorrow? The one mile Juvenile Fillies Turf race is the best betting race on the card tomorrow at Santa Anita. If you're looking to win big, you need to seriously consider Flashy Ways, 10-1 per ESPN.

In her only start on the turf, this Richard Baltas trained filly soared home over the turf at Santa Anita, winning by over two lengths in 1:34.2 for eight furlongs. The pace that day was good, and she went four wide in the stretch and finished like a champion. Joe Talamo keeps the mount and should have her in position to win.

I'm also going to be using a handful of other horses in my daily doubles, pick three wagering and a massive superfecta.

I like Spring Venture, who I think will stalk the early pace in this race. Undefeated in three career starts, this Mark Casse trained horse has looked very good over the turf. I'm not wild about the slow work at Churchill Downs on October 20, but this is a very dangerous horse.

Sustained is 12-1 and I really like her chances. Dale Romans trains this talented filly, and I'm not holding her last race against her—a second place finish at Belmont on October 8. In that race, the turf was yielding and she was bumped. In her only start on a firm turf, she was awesome over at Saratoga.

Watsdachances is an obvious choice for my exotic wagering. The alarm went off as soon as I saw the trainer Chad Brown and jockey Javier Castellano connection. Three straight turf wins after a disappointing debut makes this horse a true contender.

Tara From the Cape is another horse that I think can win this race. In her only start at a mile, this Todd Pletcher trained horse ran a 1:31.4 on August 2, winning by over two lengths. I'm not thrilled that Ramon Dominguez isn't aboard, but John Velazquez eases the pain.

This is the race where I expect a tough start with someone, a lot of traffic and a lot of horses with a chance to win. Flashy Ways is adding six pounds from her previous start but should have no problem with being in the middle of the pack early and passing them late. She's the pick.