Predicting the Last 5 In, First 5 out of the PGA Top 125

Mike DudurichContributor IOctober 29, 2012

Predicting the Last 5 In, First 5 out of the PGA Top 125

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    It’s that time of the year.

    The last official tournament on the PGA Tour calendar is looming, the Children's Miracle Network Hospitals Classic at Walt Disney World.

    Mickey, Goofy and all the gang will welcome the field, which will include a few upper-tier players, some of the middle-class and two groups that will be well-represented: those just inside the top 125 on the money list and those just outside that mark.

    Players who finish inside the top 125 earn full playing privileges on the PGA Tour in 2013. Those who don’t are limited in how much they can play on the big tour.

    Here’s my take on the last five to make it and the first five out.

Trevor Immelman Needs Help in the Magic Kingdom to Make 125

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    Trevor Immelman, the 2008 Masters champion, had a tough year in 2012. He sits at 126th on the PGA Tour money list.

    After a pair of top 10 finishes in 2011, he missed 10 cuts in 23 starts and could muster just five top 25s.

    But he finished in a tie for 31st last week, posting scores of 63 and 68 in the middle two rounds.

    Since winning the Masters, Immelman had a lesion removed from his diaphragm that was the size of a golf ball. In 2009 he could play only 13 events on the PGA Tour because of wrist injury that eventually required surgery.

Gary Woodland Is Hot Heading to Disney

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    Perhaps the hottest of those trying to get in under the wire, Woodland has posted some good scores in the last three weeks of the season.

    He posted a 67 in the opening round of the PGA Championship, a 66 in first round of the Wyndham Championship, scores of 66-72-66-68 (finishing in a tie for the ninth) in the Frys.com Open and a pair of 70s in the McGladrey Classic

    If he’s getting hot, with the distance he hits the ball, he could be almost a lock.

    Woodland is 131st on the money list going into Disney.

Alexandre Rocha Is Coming to Life at the Right Time

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    Despite making only half the cuts in tournaments he entered, Alexandre Rocha lost in a playoff in the Reno-Tahoe Open and tied for fourth in the Frys.com Open.

    He’s played in the Children’s Miracle Network Classic only once, finishing in a tie for 20th. He’ll need to do better this week.

    He's at 128 on the money list.

Bill Lunde Can Stay on Tour in 2013 with a Good Week at Disney

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    Yes he’s 129th on the money list and in need of a really good week to keep his PGA Tour card for 2013.

    But Bill Lunde certainly has posted some impressive numbers since the end of July.

    Fourteen rounds in five tournaments have been in the 60s and over $300,000 of the $593,598 he won this year came during that time.

    He missed the cut at the Children’s last year.

D.J. Trahan Is a Man with Unfulfilled Talent

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    Trahan comes to Disney having finished in a tie for fourth in the McGladrey Classic, which is a good thing.

    He missed 14 cuts in 26 starts, which is a bad thing.

    Even worse is him not having much of a record at Children’s, especially for a guy who is 130th on the money list.

    Call it a hunch—look for a big week from Trahan.

Billy Mayfair Hasn't Shown Any Spark the Last Month or so

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    It's not always true that nice guys finish last, but it certainly looks as though Billy Mayfair is headed toward an ugly finish to his 2012 season. In his four weeks leading up to the Disney, his best result is a tie for 46th.

    He tied for sixth last year at Disney, but didn't make the cut the two previous years.

    Mayfair holds down the 125th spot on the money list going into Disney.

Rod Pampling Has Been Hanging on in the Top 125, but His Grip Is Slipping

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    Rod Pampling turned pro in 1994, and while he's won just twice, he's made over $13 million,

    But it's been since 2008 that he's topped a million dollars in a year.

    This year, a tie for 22nd is his best finish since July 1.

    He's missed the cut in his last two appearances at Disney.

    Pampling is 124th on the money list, but don't bet on him keeping that spot.

Kevin Chappell Contnues to Struggle Making a Name on PGA Tour

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    How's this for an end to a disappointing season—

    One withdrawal, three missed cuts and a tie for 43rd. That’s how Kevin Chappell finished this season and how he'll get ready to play in the Children's.

    A bit of good news? He was third last year at Disney.

Jeff Maggert Will Have a Tough Time Holding on at Disney

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    Jeff Maggert finished second in the Humana Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation in January. It's been all downhill after that.

    His best finish since January was a tie for 16th in the Frys.com Open two weeks ago. He's missed four cuts since July 1 and missed as many cuts (13) as he made (13).

    He's at 122 on the money list.

Boo Weekley Was Like a Meteor, Flaming out Quickly

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    Remember Boo Weekley, the backwoods boy from rural Florida who was hot as a firecracker for a couple years?

    He's been quiet for a while as evidenced by the fact that he missed the cut seven times in his last 10 starts.

    The best of his two top 10 finishes, a tie for third, was in the Puerto Rican Open in March.

    He’s played in the Children’s Miracle Network Classic three times with the following results: a missed cut, a tie for 54th and a tie for 74th.

    He's at 121 on the money list.