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Quite simple, St Louis has made the plays San Francisco hasn't
The sum of this series is pretty simple:
Through four games, the San Francisco Giants are 8 for 32 with runners in scoring position, or .250 overall. The last two games, both losses, they are 1 for 12.
The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 9 for 29, or .310 overall.
They have done more with less than the Giants have had in this series. When you factor in that the lone Giants win (Game 2) saw San Francisco go 4 for 14 and St. Louis 0 for 7, the averages separate even more drastically. The Giants are hitting 4 for 18, or .222 in their three losses; the Cardinals are hitting 9 for 22, or .409 in their three wins.
In a series expected to be hotly contested and dragged out to the limit, there is usually some telltale stat that makes the difference.
It has been situational hitting by far in this NLCS.
St. Louis has taken advantage of their chances and San Francisco has not.
While Barry Zito did outpitch Lance Lynn on August 7th, that seems like a light year ago, compared to the present time and place. No Melky Cabrera, a struggling Buster Posey and the emergence of role players like Descalso have the Cardinals looking like, well, the Cardinals of 2011.
I don't think the Giants are going to give St. Louis anything. They haven't in the first four games. Honestly, I just think the better team is going to take it tonight.
That team is the St. Louis Cardinals.