Best Case: Penn State is this year's "nobody believes in us" team, wins more games than they probably should and fights for the last NCAA tournament spot before ultimately being relegated to the NIT. The team starts out 9-1 with its only non-conference loss coming against NC State.
In conference, the team has the benefit of having the best player on the court in almost every game, leading it to win three or four games that it probably shouldn't have won. The Nittany Lions manage to beat non-elite teams like Northwestern and Iowa, win a few against solid teams like Minnesota and Illinois and maybe even win one against an elite team like Indiana or Ohio State. The team wins a game or two in the Big Ten Tournament, wins a few games in the NIT and exceeds everyone's expectations.
Worst Case: The team relies too much on Frazier, and by the end of the year, it is the conference cellar dwellers. At no point does it show signs of being a potentially dangerous team to anyone due to little frontcourt depth. The team enters conference play with a 6-4 record, then all hell breaks lose.
The Nittany Lions only manage three or four wins in conference, are never competitive in the games they lose and limp their way to the 12th seed in the Big Ten Tournament, where they promptly lose. The best basketball team is the women's team, the best player is Maggie Lucas and Pat Chambers is now on the hot seat.
Follow Bill DiFilippo on Twitter @bflip33, where he tweets way too often about Penn State Football and the NBA.