Why Florida Is the Biggest Surprise of the First BCS Rankings
The first 2012 BCS rankings are out and the biggest surprise is Florida landing at No. 2 instead of Oregon. Though the Ducks sit at No. 2 in both human polls, which make up two-thirds of the BCS equation, the Gators are currently No. 3 in the AP Poll and No. 4 in the Coaches’ Poll.
Still, the Gators have the highest ranking according to the BCS computer polls, which isn’t exactly a shocker when you compare the two teams’ schedules thus far.
Of Florida’s six wins, four have come against teams with winning records, and the Gators have wins against two teams currently in the Top 20 of both human polls—LSU and Texas A&M. And both the Tigers' and the Aggies' only losses came at the expense of Florida.
Oregon, on the other hand, has zero wins against any team currently ranked in the Top 25 of either human poll. In fact, Arkansas State is the only team Oregon has played that currently has a winning record.
So, again, it shouldn’t be a huge surprise that the Gators' schedule has the computers liking Florida enough to push it past Oregon in the initial rankings.
It is a little surprising that UF was able to make the jump considering that they are No. 4 in the Coaches’ Poll. But it should be noted that Florida trails Kansas State in by a very thin margin in that poll.
While the Gators coming in over Oregon in the initial poll may surprise some, Oregon faithful don’t need to start fretting just yet. Florida has a long road ahead of them, navigating a tough SEC schedule in the next few weeks with South Carolina and Georgia on deck.
And even if the Gators should run the table, the eventual SEC West Champs will be waiting on them in Atlanta. The SEC Championship Game is going to take one of the SEC teams out of the National Championship hunt. With a loss coming in December for one of the SEC contenders, there is really no chance for another repeat all-SEC National Championship game this year.
So, as long as Oregon takes care of its own business, the Ducks will punch their ticket to Miami to play for the crystal football come January.
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