Nebraska-Baylor: Big 12 Tournament First Round (Mar. 11)

Shaun HartCorrespondent IMarch 10, 2009

No. 8 Nebraska (18-11, 8-8) vs. No. 9 Baylor (17-13, 5-11)

Wed. Mar. 11 at 12:30 p.m. EST

Spread: Nebraska -1.0


Backcourt Advantage: Baylor

Senior guard Curtis Jerrells (16.2 PPG) leads a deep and experienced backcourt, which includes senior Henry Dugat (10.4 PPG), junior Tweety Carter (11.4 PPG), and sophomore LaceDarius Dunn (15.1 PPG).

Led by seniors Ade Dagunduro (12.7 PPG) and Steve Harley (10.1 PPG), Nebraska is a guard-heavy team that likes to play at a slow, methodical pace. They did just that on Saturday, slowing the Bears down and holding them to just 62 points, which was 16 points under their season average of 77.9 points per game.

Freshman Toney McCray (5.9 PPG) came off the bench to lead the Huskers with 18 points in their win on Saturday.

The Bears, who are averaging just over eight three-pointers made per game, knocked down 8-of-24 on Saturday. The Huskers weren't hesitant to hoist up the long-range bombs either, making 7-of-21 attempts. Expect it to be raining threes again in this one.

If Baylor can pick up the pace and get up and down the court, they will be able to win this game. Nebraska is 0-5 when giving up 70 points or more.


Frontcourt Advantage: Baylor

Senior forward Kevin Rogers (12.1 PPG, 7.4 RPG) should be able to dominate inside for the Bears. The 6'9" forward will have a size advantage inside against a Nebraska team that is usually playing with five guards, the tallest being 6'5" Ade Dagunduro, who leads the Huskers in rebounds, averaging only 4.3 per game.

Rogers scored 10 points and brought down six rebounds in Baylor's loss on Saturday, while the Bears outrebounded the Huskers 31-25.


Momentum: Even

Nebraska just defeated Baylor 66-62 in Waco, TX, on Saturday. Now just three days later, they must do it again to advance into the second round of the Big 12 tournament and keep their NCAA tournament hopes alive.

Both teams are experienced, while the Bears have a more well-balanced attack. Look for Baylor to find a way to win this one.


Shaun's Pick: Baylor +1.0