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2012 College Football Week 7 Picks: Oklahoma over Texas

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2012 College Football Week 7 Picks: Oklahoma over Texas
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Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2012 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Texas vs. Oklahoma

The Red River Rivalry (say it five times fast, I'll wait) returns for its 107th installment. The Texas Longhorns and Oklahoma Sooners both enter the game with one loss and BCS bowl game aspirations far from a certainty.

Mack Brown's boys are coming off a tough loss to West Virginia at home, 48-45. There's little doubt that the Longhorns can score points at a rapid rate. Their 46.8 points per game is the sixth-most in the country. However, with the potent offense comes a defense that mimics a sieve. Over their last three games, the Longhorns have allowed 31 or more points (Ole Miss, OK State and Geno Smith's West Virginia Mountaineers). Texas ranks 86th in the country in rush defense behind Texas State and 56th in pass defense behind Virginia. The defense is helping put the “burnt” in burnt orange.

It's not all bad; David Ash has thrown for more than 1,200 yards with 11 touchdowns and one interception. Texas boasts a three-headed monster in the backfield with Joe Bergeron, Malcolm Brown and Jonathan Gray all with more than 240 rushing yards and 12 total touchdowns.

Bob Stoops' Sooners were thinking BCS title before the season started, but Kansas State emerged as an early-season roadblock to that goal. The Wildcats outscored Oklahoma 14-6 in the fourth quarter en route to the upset win. Three turnovers by the Sooners ultimately cost them the game.

There were also some whispers for Landry Jones as a top Heisman candidate heading into the season, but those have evaporated–mostly because of Geno Smith–but 1,032 passing yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions don't garner a lot of attention either. Damien Williams is averaging 7.8 yards per rush with five touchdowns through the first four games.

The Sooners are 59th in rush defense, but ninth in pass defense, which will force Ash into his stiffest test of the season.

We simulated the Sooners and Longhorns and Oklahoma comes away with the win 52.5 percent of the time by an average score of 26-23.

College Football Week 7
Matchup Win% Avg Score  
Boston College Eagles 11.9 17 Boxscore
@ Florida State Seminoles 88.1 30  
Duke Blue Devils 39.6 24 Boxscore
@ Virginia Tech Hokies 60.4 28  
Maryland Terrapins 49.5 22 Boxscore
@ Virginia Cavaliers 50.5 23  
North Carolina Tar Heels 50.5 27 Boxscore
@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes 49.5 25  
Fordham Rams 5.0 8 Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bearcats 95.0 51  
Syracuse Orange 39.6 20 Boxscore
@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights 60.4 23  
Temple Owls 40.6 20 Boxscore
@ Connecticut Huskies 59.4 22  
Louisville Cardinals 66.3 26 Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Panthers 33.7 21  
Illinois Fighting Illini 21.3 16 Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines 78.7 25  
Iowa Hawkeyes 42.6 22 Boxscore
@ Michigan State Spartans 57.4 23  
Wisconsin Badgers 54.5 26 Boxscore
@ Purdue Boilermakers 45.5 25  
Northwestern Wildcats 69.8 26 Boxscore
@ Minnesota Golden Gophers 30.2 20  
Ohio State Buckeyes 80.2 30 Boxscore
@ Indiana Hoosiers 19.8 17  
Akron Zips 17.8 17 Boxscore
@ Ohio Bobcats 82.2 29  
Buffalo Bulls 19.8 17 Boxscore
@ Northern Illinois Huskies 80.2 27  
Western Michigan Broncos 39.1 27 Boxscore
@ Ball State Cardinals 60.9 28  
Miami (OH) RedHawks 46.5 23 Boxscore
@ Bowling Green Falcons 53.5 24  
Navy Midshipmen 56.4 26 Boxscore
@ Central Michigan Chippewas 43.6 24  
Toledo Rockets 78.2 28 Boxscore
@ Eastern Michigan Eagles 21.8 18  
Utah Utes 45.0 21 Boxscore
@ UCLA Bruins 55.0 23  
California Golden Bears 56.4 26 Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars 43.6 25  
USC Trojans 82.2 35 Boxscore
@ Washington Huskies 17.8 23  
Arizona State Sun Devils 82.2 31 Boxscore
@ Colorado Buffaloes 17.8 19  
Kentucky Wildcats 31.7 16 Boxscore
@ Arkansas Razorbacks 68.3 23  
South Carolina Gamecocks 46.5 18 Boxscore
@ LSU Tigers 53.5 21  
Auburn Tigers 46.5 19 Boxscore
@ Mississippi Rebels 53.5 22  
Tennessee Volunteers 48.5 21 Boxscore
@ Mississippi State Bulldogs 51.5 22  
Florida Gators 73.3 24 Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores 26.7 16  
Alabama Crimson Tide 84.2 29 Boxscore
@ Missouri Tigers 15.8 15  
Utah State Aggies 55.4 29 Boxscore
@ San Jose State Spartans 44.6 27  
Texas A&M Aggies 57.4 28 Boxscore
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 42.6 25  
Idaho Vandals 62.9 25 Boxscore
@ Texas State Bobcats 37.1 21  
Stanford Cardinal 35.1 21 Boxscore
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish 64.9 25  
Kent State Golden Flashes 50.0 20 Boxscore
@ Army Black Knights 50.0 19  
Oregon State Beavers 62.4 25 Boxscore
@ Brigham Young Cougars 37.6 22  
Texas Longhorns 47.5 23 Boxscore
vs. Oklahoma Sooners 52.5 26  
TCU Horned Frogs 47.5 24 Boxscore
@ Baylor Bears 52.5 25  
Kansas State Wildcats 57.4 25 Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones 42.6 23  
West Virginia Mountaineers 71.3 35 Boxscore
@ Texas Tech Red Raiders 28.7 29  
Oklahoma State Cowboys 79.2 32 Boxscore
@ Kansas Jayhawks 20.8 22  
UTEP Miners 25.7 20 Boxscore
@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane 74.3 30  
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 29.7 20 Boxscore
@ UCF Knights 70.3 26  
Memphis Tigers 32.2 21 Boxscore
@ East Carolina Pirates 67.8 28  
UAB Blazers 35.6 24 Boxscore
@ Houston Cougars 64.4 31  
Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners 39.1 24 Boxscore
@ Rice Owls 60.9 27  
Southern Methodist Mustangs 82.2 29 Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave 17.8 16  
Fresno State Bulldogs 31.7 25 Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos 68.3 30  
Colorado State Rams 40.6 20 Boxscore
@ San Diego State Aztecs 59.4 23  
Air Force Falcons 51.5 24 Boxscore
@ Wyoming Cowboys 48.5 23  
New Mexico Lobos 53.5 23 Boxscore
@ Hawaii Warriors 46.5 22  
Nevada Wolf Pack 81.2 30 Boxscore
@ UNLV Rebels 18.8 19  
South Alabama Jaguars 14.4 16 Boxscore
@ Arkansas State Red Wolves 85.6 30  
Florida Atlantic Owls 14.9 17 Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 85.1 31  
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 37.1 24 Boxscore
@ FIU Golden Panthers 62.9 31  
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 66.3 29 Boxscore
@ Troy Trojans 33.7 24  
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