BCS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
FLORIDA vs. TEXAS
Florida has 19 of 22 starters back from 2008's championship team and should be great in 2009. Although they have a tough schedule, they should probably run the table. Texas should too, but it won't be easy for them.
They have to get by Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, and Kansas. I think they can do it, though, and that's why I have them here. The winner of the Red River Shootout will probably go here.
OTHER TEAMS LIKELY TO GO: Oklahoma, USC
OLE MISS vs. GEORGIA TECH
I project Florida to be the top ranked team in the final BCS standings, which means their conference's bowl (Sugar Bowl) gets the first replacement pick. By BCS rules, the best team I think they will get will be Ole Miss.
The Rebels have a very tough division to compete in with Alabama and LSU, but they have both of those teams at home, and I don't think they play Florida. (The Rebels also have most of their team returning from a very good season).
I think Ole Miss will have one or maybe zero losses after the regular season and go to the SEC championship, but lose to most likely Florida.
Georgia Tech has all of the runners that made their triple option offense work, and most of their good 2008 defense. Also, GT doesn't have a very tough schedule.
Their likely losses are to Georgia, Virginia Tech and Florida State, but I think they'll win one of those. Since they'll start off pretty high anyway and I think they'll have a 10-2 record, they'll go here as an at-large.
OTHER TEAMS LIKELY TO GO: Alabama, California, Iowa, Penn State
OKLAHOMA vs. BOISE STATE
Oklahoma will be a very good team in 2009 with its only major loss its offensive line, but that's probably too much for them to be as good as last year.
If they beat Texas in the Red River Shootout, I think they'll make the National Championship, but that will be very hard to do. Boise State doesn't have much of a schedule, and should be pretty good anyway.
Remember, all they have to do is break the top 12 or make the top 16 and finish ahead of a major conference champion (probably the Big East champion in this case).
I can see Boise State losing to Oregon, but I think they'll most likely win.
OTHER TEAMS LIKELY TO GO: Texas, Oklahoma State, BYU, Utah, Iowa, Penn State, California
VIRGINIA TECH vs. WEST VIRGINIA
Virginia Tech will have a very good team next year with most of their 2008 defense returning, which was very good, and QB Tyrod Taylor back as well. They have to get by Georgia Tech, but probably have what it takes to do that.
West Virginia will have a pretty good defense with eight starters back from their 2008 squad, and RB Noel Devine will be good. They shouldn't have a problem taking the Big East, but won't be ranked very high.
OTHER TEAMS LIKELY TO GO: Pittsburgh, South Florida, Georgia Tech, Florida State
USC vs. OHIO STATE
This game would be a rematch of the two from earlier in the season, who will play Sept. 12 in Columbus. USC will just reload talent on defense in 2009, and have a dangerous rushing offense as well. USC generally blows a game to some team they shouldn't lose to, and have a few tough teams on their 2009 schedule.
Ohio State has seven starers returning from a very good 2008 defense and QB Terrelle Pryor, who should be much improved. He will provide an efficient OSU passing game while putting up some rushing yards.
OTHER TEAMS LIKELY TO GO: Ole Miss, Georgia Tech, Boise State, BYU, Utah, Oklahoma, Iowa, Penn State, California