Hull City: The Premiership Run In

Brian RhodesSenior Analyst IMarch 7, 2009

So, here we are with only 10 Premier League games left for Hull City in their first season of top flight football. The season has been one of optimism, excitement, despondency, frustration, anger (at officials) and soap opera style shenanigans at the KC stadium.

Will the Tiger-nation be cheering on the amber and black next season in the Premiership or the Championship?

The Tigers' remaining games are a mixed bag of six pointers and nerve jangling fixtures against top four teams.

The Tigers Vs Newcastle United

Wigan Athletic V's The Tigers

The Tigers Vs Portsmouth

Middlesbrough Vs The Tigers

Sunderland Vs The Tigers

The Tigers Vs Liverpool

Aston Villa Vs The Tigers

The Tigers Vs Stoke City

Bolton Wanderers Vs The Tigers

The Tigers Vs Manchester United

The remaining fixtures have actually panned out quite well for Hull City. Without a doubt Phil Brown's Tigers have not been the form team of late but they will have a definite chance of Premiership survival for this season.

A total of 40+ points has usually been enough for survival in the toughest football league in the world. On only three occasions since the Premier League was trimmed to 20 teams has a team with more than 40 points been relegated. That was Sunderland in 1996/7 with 40 points, Bolton in 1997/8 with 40 points and West Ham in 2002/3 with 42 points.

With 32 points already in the bag for the Tigers, the East Yorkshire outfit will be hoping to snatch at least another ten points from the remaining fixtures.

Phil Brown will be eying the game against Newcastle as an important game. The Premiership new boys have already beaten the Magpies twice this season and drawn once in the Premiership and the FA Cup.

A victory against the Magpies would help to sustain the momentum that the Tigers gained with their victory against Fulham. That was the first double that the Tigers have gained this season.

The Tiger-nation will also be looking to take all three points from the games against Portsmouth, Middlesbrough and Stoke. This would leave the Tigers on 44 points if they were to lose all their remaining games. However, it is still possible that the amber and black footballing machine could still gain points against all of their opponents.

Even down to the last game of the season the Tigers have a chance of grabbing points as Manchester United could very well be crowned Premier League Champions and possibly resting key players for important Champions League and FA Cup final games.

However, the Tigers games alone are not the whole picture. You need to look at the fixtures of the fellow relegation teams as there a lot of teams taking points off of each other. It is entirely possible that Hull City do not reach the magical 40 point mark but still survive.

Middlesbrough also have to play Portsmouth, Stoke, Newcastle as well as Hull City. That means that although Middlesbrough could win all those games, their opponents will not be gaining anything from those games. Alternatively they could all be draws and then it is only a single point gained when three points are paramount.

As it stands all the teams below Phil Brown's Hull City would much rather be in Hull City's position on 32 Points. However, the Tigers' goal difference could well be the thing that is their Archilles' heel, but a minus 16 goal difference is not an envious position to be in.

In my opinion the Tigers will survive this season with approximately 44 points and will end up in about 14th place. The teams for the drop will be West Brom, Middlesbrough and Newcastle, but who knows, it's football after all and anything can happen. That's why we love it.