NFL Picks Week 4: Gambling Guide for Cowboys vs. Bears on Monday Night Football

Alex Kay@AlexPKayCorrespondent IOctober 1, 2012

ARLINGTON, TX - SEPTEMBER 19:  Quarterback Jay Cutler #6 of the Chicago Bears looks to pass against the Dallas Cowboys at Cowboys Stadium on September 19, 2010 in Arlington, Texas.  (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

The Chicago Bears (2-1) and Dallas Cowboys (2-1) are preparing to do battle in a Monday Night Football matchup that will showcase two of the elite teams in the NFC.

While the outcome of the game will likely have a significant impact on the playoff picture in the conference, it will certainly have an immediate effect on bettors’ wallets.

As with most nationally televised games, there will be plenty of exciting prop bets to make and much more action available aside from the standard point spread and over/under wagers.

Let’s take a look at some of the risks you can take, which way you should lean and hopefully get paid out in a big way after MNF.

*All lines and props courtesy of


Chicago Bears (+3.5) over DALLAS COWBOYS

The Bears are the play in this primetime game.

They have covered two of their three contests this season, while Dallas has just one cover in their three attempts. It’s also worth noting that Chicago covered the spread in its only meeting with Dallas in the past three seasons.

While the Bears were less than impressive in their last game on national television, Jay Cutler and their offensive line should be much more prepared in Week 4.

Dallas possesses an elite secondary, but Chicago should still be able to move the chains on the ground and eventually open things up in the passing game.

Go with Chi-town to cover the spread and even consider playing it moneyline for a bigger payout.


Over/Under: 41.5

Under is the way to lean in this one.

In the six combined matchups these clubs have been involved with, five have gone under the set total. These teams—especially the Bears—love to grind out games and win with suffocating defense, while simultaneously pounding the rock when on offense.

While both can and will air it out when necessary, it’s going to be a slow-moving affair on Monday night and the game should easily end up under.


Will Brandon Marshall Score a Touchdown?  Yes +115/No -145

This prop is a nice one and is solid value for those that believe Marshall will find the end zone for the first time since Week 1.

He’s bound to find pay dirt and loves coming up huge in big games. While he wasn’t able to do that a Week 2 Thursday Night Football outing, it was largely due to the Green Bay Packers’ pass rush destroying Jay Cutler and the offensive line.

While Dallas has great corners, Marshall will find a way to beat them at least once.


Tony Romo Completions Over/Under 23.5 (-115)

Go with the under here, even if the payout isn’t exactly optimal. The Bears haven’t allowed more than 24 receptions to any of the QBs they have faced—including reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers.

If Rodgers couldn’t connect on 24 passes, there isn’t any way that Romo will get it done. This is going to be a close game with lots of running plays, meaning the only way the Dallas signal-caller has a chance of beating this is if they go down big.

That isn’t likely to happen, making this one of the better props on the board.