Which Texas FBS Team Will Stay Undefeated?
There are currently 12 FBS teams in the state of Texas. That number is staggering but there's a reason for it.
In Texas, football is a state of mind. Friday nights are all about high school football. On Saturdays, it's college football. This state breathes football.
Houston, North Texas, Rice, SMU, Texas A&M, Texas State and UTEP all have at least one loss.
That leaves the state of Texas with five undefeated FBS teams.
Which team in Texas has the best shot of keeping a perfect record?
University of Texas at San Antonio Roadrunners
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The UTSA Roadrunners are new to the FBS and play in the WAC. Their football program is only in its second year and plays in the Alamodome.
We don't know much about them yet, but we do know how good Utah State and San Jose State—two of their looming opponents—are.
Utah State beat the Pac-12's Utah and lost a 16-14 heartbreaker to Wisconsin. San Jose State spanked Colorado State and just missed at Stanford, losing 20-17.
Starting out 4-0 is great but the team probably won't survive Rice, San Jose State and Utah State in three consecutive weeks, much less Louisiana Tech in the fourth game of that stretch.
Baylor University Bears
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I like the way the Baylor Bears have kept marching forward, even after losing Robert Griffin III to the NFL. Quarterback Nick Florence is a gamer and has already jumped to No. 6 in passing productivity among FBS quarterbacks.
The problem for Baylor is its schedule.
Baylor plays at West Virginia, at Texas, at Oklahoma and then at a neutral venue in Arlington against Texas Tech. I don't see the Bears escaping without a loss in at least one of those games.
Texas Christian University Horned Frogs
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In its first year in the Big 12, TCU will likely suffer some growing pains.
No disrespect to the Mountain West, but the Big 12's league play is much deeper than the Mountain West's. Ask Utah how its first year in the Pac-12 went.
Last year, TCU swept its final five games in the Mountain West playing BYU (neutral site), at Wyoming, at Boise State, Colorado State and UNLV.
This year, the Horned Frogs' final five games look like this: At Oklahoma State, at West Virginia, Kansas State, at Texas and against Oklahoma.
They won't be breaking out any brooms this time.
Texas Tech University Red Raiders
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In head coach Tommy Tuberville's third year in Lubbock, the Red Raiders look much improved, especially on defense. Granted, they haven't really played anyone with a pulse—Northwestern State, Texas State and New Mexico—but their offense is still high-flying.
Their schedule looks to set up nicely. They get Oklahoma and West Virginia back-to-back at home in Lubbock. Their next two games are on the road against TCU and Kansas State. Their final four games are hosting Texas and Kansas, traveling to Oklahoma State and then at Arlington for Baylor.
It's a difficult, but doable schedule. Except for Kansas State and Oklahoma State on the road, the Red Raiders get the benefit of home field advantage for their more challenging games
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I'm hanging my hat on Texas this year. My biggest concern was quarterback play and David Ash has quashed my concerns.
Texas went to a hostile SEC venue in Oxford, Mississippi and laid 66 points on Ole Miss. That's impressive. The score would've been higher if the Longhorns hadn't taken some knees in the fourth quarter.
We'll know a lot more about the Longhorns when they host West Virginia on October 6. If the defense plays well (read: the secondary doesn't give Geno Smith too many targets) they should be good to go.
Their final two games are hosting TCU and at Kansas State.