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Baylor has scored a lot of points in its first three games, and QB Nick Florence has done an admirable job replacing Robert Griffin III. It's looked good in all games, with the closest coming last week at Louisiana-Monroe, what would have been a warning sign were the Warhawks not as upset-minded as they've been this year.
Even though the Bears have lit up the scoreboard, the Mountaineers aren't lacking for firepower, and they've looked solid behind Heisman leader Geno Smith, who is doing his very best impersonation of RG3 this season. Smith's got the offense in Dana Holgorsen's blitzkrieg of a scheme, and he's got the playmakers in Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey to absolutely slaughter defenses, a la Clemson in last year's bowl game.
The only real hope for Baylor is the fact that Maryland hung tight with the Mountaineers last week, eventually surrendering 31-21. WVU allowed a freshman quarterback to hang 309 yards on them with three TD's. The defense is vulnerable, but they also made plays, returning a fumble for a TD and intercepting the Terps.
Maryland has a top 10 defense at the moment, while neither WVU nor Baylor is in the top 50 in total defense, though, so the Bears may have a bit more trouble with the Mountaineers.
You don't just go into a hostile arena and knock a team with a Heisman-caliber quarterback around. If Baylor wants to win this, it'll have to continue to score a lot of points, and its defense will have to improve. I don't see a Baylor victory, barring a Geno Smith injury, but it should be an entertaining game.
West Virginia 31 Baylor 24