Rafael Soriano (2-1, 42 SV, 64.1 IP, 2.10 ERA, 1.12 WHIP)
David Robertson (2-7, 2 SV, 57 IP, 2.84 ERA, 1.19 WHIP)
Boone Logan (6-2, 1 SV, 53.2 IP, 3.69 ERA, 1.32 WHIP)
Clay Rapada (3-0, 0 SV, 37.2 IP, 2.87 ERA, 1.22 WHIP)
David Phelps (4-4, 0 SV, 92.2 IP, 3.21 ERA, 1.21 WHIP)
Freddy Garcia (7-6, 0 SV, 105.1 IP, 5.30 ERA, 1.40 WHIP)
Ivan Nova (12-7, 0 SV, 165.2 IP, 4.94 ERA, 1.46 WHIP)
Derek Lowe (0-1, 1 SV, 17 IP, 3.71 ERA, 1.41 WHIP)*
Cody Eppley (1-2, 0 SV, 43.1 IP, 3.53 ERA, 1.38 WHIP)
Joba Chamberlain (1-0, 0 SV, 18.1 IP, 4.91 ERA, 1.64 WHIP)
Girardi has tended to stick to conventions when it comes to his postseason rosters, choosing to carry 11 pitchers and 14 position players. I expect him to stay the course this season.
The locks pretty much speak for themselves. Rafael Soriano is the team's closer, and David Robertson is still Girardi's primary eighth-inning setup man even if he has indeed been a little more human than usual this year.
In Boone Logan and Clay Rapada, Girardi will have two solid lefties to go to. Logan can be used in pretty much any situation, and Rapada is a perfect fit for lefty-on-lefty matchups. He's held lefty hitters to a .528 OPS this season.
David Phelps may seem like an odd choice for a lock at first glance, but he makes the cut because he can pitch in pretty much any situation. He can be used to get a couple outs, and he can also go three or four innings if the situation calls for it.
Where things get tricky is determining who's the best fit to be the club's primary long man in the postseason: Freddy Garcia, Ivan Nova or Derek Lowe?
Garcia scares me because his smoke-and-mirrors act can blow up at any time. That's been happening quite a bit lately, as he has an 8.49 ERA in September with an opponents' OPS of 1.044.
Nova hasn't been much better lately. In fact, he has a 6.99 ERA since the All-Star break, and the hits he's given up have tended to be clobbered. To boot, the fact that he only has three career relief appearances further complicates his prospects to make the postseason roster.
Lowe is the safest choice to be the team's primary long man. He's far from perfect, but he's been solid ever since joining the Yankees, and he's holding hitters to a .120 slugging percentage in his September outings.
Between Joba Chamberlain and Cody Eppley, Chamberlain is the hotter pitcher of the two. He hasn't allowed a run in his last eight innings pitched, striking out nine and walking one. Eppley, meanwhile, has an ERA over 5.00 in his last 23 outings, in which hitters have knocked him around to the tune of a .300 batting average.
If I'm Girardi, I go with the hot hand.
Prediction: Lowe and Chamberlain