Explaining How the Orioles Keep on Winning with a Negative Run Differential

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Explaining How the Orioles Keep on Winning with a Negative Run Differential
Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images
Photo courtesy of Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images.

The Baltimore Orioles (83-64) sit just 0.5 games behind the New York Yankees (84-64) for first place in the American League Eastern Division, and they have just 15 more contests left on the regular season schedule.

Who would have thought that on Sept. 18, the Orioles, who have endured 14 consecutive losing seasons, would be almost 20 games over the .500 mark and in the playoff hunt?

An even more impressive number is their negative run differential and their ability to overcome the odds as they continue to win (18-9 in August and 10-6 this month).

The Birds have scored 646 runs this season, while their pitching staff has surrendered 660 runs, which is a -14 run differential. Most teams struggle if they score less runs than they’ve surrendered, which only makes sense, but the Orioles continue to win regardless of the differential.

Earlier in the season, their starting pitching staff was less consistent and they surrendered too many runs, leading to too many lopsided contests. However, since the beginning of August, the Birds have scored 210 runs, and they have only allowed 173 runs.

So, they have improved on the negative run differential. However, it’s still negative and they might even finish with a lopsided run differential.

Check out the four reasons why the Black and Orange are able to continue to find the win column regardless of this statistic.

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