Odds of Each Chicago Bulls Player Remaining Healthy for the Full Season

Shehan JeyarajahCorrespondent ISeptember 19, 2012

Odds of Each Chicago Bulls Player Remaining Healthy for the Full Season

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    This upcoming season will be a tumultuous one for the Chicago Bulls. While injuries are a part of any team's season, they will have an even greater effect on the Bulls this year with Derrick Rose still rehabbing a surgically-repaired ACL. 

    With a team that is already stretched thin due to injury, the health of the remaining players becomes an even bigger factor. If more players get hurt, the Bulls are just not going to be as successful as they could be. Here are my predictions for the health of the Bulls' rotation players this season. 

The Bench

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    Kirk Hinrich

    Chances of Staying Healthy: 5%
    Percent of Games Played Over Career: 87.8%
    Percent of Games Played Last Year: 72.7%

    Kirk Hinrich was not quite an injury-prone player during his time in Chicago with the exception of one season. However since he left Chicago, Hinrich has been injury prone. He has not missed an overwhelming amount of games, but has missed important games and has struggled due to injuries many times. That will likely continue, as Hinrich isn't getting any younger. 

    Marco Belinelli

    Chances of Staying Healthy: 90%
    Percent of Games Played Over Career: 72.8%
    Percent of Games Played Last Year: 100%

    Marco Belinelli is the Bulls' new addition at the shooting guard position. Last year for New Orleans, Belinelli played in all 66 games while playing almost 30 minutes per game, a career high. Belinelli will not be expected to play heavy minutes on the Bulls, so I imagine that he should stay healthy. 

    Jimmy Butler

    Chances of Staying Healthy: 80%
    Percent of Games Played Over Career: 63.6%
    Percent of Games Played Last Year: 63.6%

    Jimmy Butler will be required to play a much bigger role for the Bulls this upcoming season with the injury to Luol Deng and the departures of Kyle Korver and Ronnie Brewer. Butler should be able to fill the role without putting too much stress on his body. 

    Taj Gibson

    Chances of Staying Healthy: 80%
    Percent of Games Played Over Career: 97.8%
    Percent of Games Played Last Year: 95.4%

    Throughout his career, Gibson has missed few games to injury, as you can see. In fact, over his career, Gibson has missed merely five regular season games. Despite that however, Gibson has still struggled with lower body injuries, including plantar fasciitis. While he has played through those injuries in the past, there is a chance that the injuries could multiply, and impact Gibson's minutes. 

    Nate Robinson

    Chances of Staying Healthy: 55%
    Percent of Games Played Over Career: 80.3%
    Percent of Games Played Last Year: 77.3%

    Nate Robinson is an interesting player to look at. He is very strong and very explosive, but diminutive. Because of this, he tends to be an injury-prone player. Now on a Chicago team that boasts four point guards, Robinson may be able to limit the stress on his body and stay healthy more. However, the odds are that he probably won't stay healthy.  

Joakim Noah

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    Chances of Staying Healthy: 10%

    Percent of Games Played Over Career: 83.8%

    Percent of Games Played Last Year: 97.0%

    Joakim Noah played 64 out of a possible 66 games last season, but ended up injuring his ankle severely during the same playoff series that Derrick Rose tore his ACL. Noah's ankle is still worrisome because it was a factor during a July physical. Since he failed said physical, he was not able to play for Team France in the Olympics. 

    I'm not necessarily worried about Jo's existing ankle injury, because there has been enough time that a sprained ankle should heal. What I'm worried about is the overall state of Noah's lower body. He has a tendency to roll his ankle and get other lower body issues, and that's a condition that could lead to chronic instability. It is something we will have to keep an eye on as Bulls fans. 

Carlos Boozer

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    Chances of Staying Healthy: 70%

    Percent of Games Played Over Career: 79.0%

    Percent of Games Played Last Year: 100%

    Over his career, Carlos Boozer has been one of the most injury-prone players in the NBA. His first season on the Chicago Bulls proved to be same old story, as Boozer missed 23 games due to injury. 

    Last season, Boozer played all 66 games for the Bulls, the first time in his career that he played every game in a season. We will see whether last season was a fluke or if it's a new trend.  It's hard to tell at this point. 

Luol Deng

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    Chances of Staying Healthy: 5%

    Percent of Games Played Over Career: 84.2%

    Percent of Games Played Last Year: 81.8%

    Similar to Derrick Rose, Luol Deng comes into the season with a pre-existing injury. Deng tore a ligament in his left wrist back in January, and never actually had surgery for it. There are talks that he might need to have surgery NEXT offseason, but that means that Deng's wrist may still be a factor this season. 

    Even if Deng isn't bothered by his wrist, he is still a player who has had injury troubles in the past. There is virtually no chance that he will stay healthy all season. 

Richard Hamilton

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    Chances of Staying Healthy: 1%

    Percent of Games Played Over Career: 83.1%

    Percent of Games Played Last Year: 42.4%

    Richard Hamilton played his first season in Chicago last season and really struggled to stay healthy. Rip has not been truly healthy for a few seasons now, and there is no reason that his health will take any turn for the better. 

    Next season, we should not rely on Rip to play much of any role on this team. Even when he's healthy, he hasn't shown that he can be a real factor. Chicago is a great basketball team, with or without Rip, so it won't be surprising if he doesn't last the season here. 

Derrick Rose

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    Chances of Staying Healthy: 0%

    Percent of Games Played Over Career: 89.4%

    Percent of Games Played Last Year: 59.1%

    Derrick Rose of course will undoubtedly miss the first part of the season due to tearing his ACL in the first game of the 2012 playoffs. So for that reason, Derrick has no chance of playing all of the games this season. 

    As well, Derrick will have a gradual return to the game. He will not come in immediately and play 40 minutes because his knee will still need to recover and get back to game strength. Even after that, Derrick might miss some games to avoid fatigue and hopefully be ready for the playoffs. 

    If Derrick is ready for the playoffs, then we won't need to worry about how long it took him to get back because the Bulls are a match for any team in the East.