After having watched every conceivable show on ESPN and NFL Network this week, I am flabbergasted that every NFL expert across the board has picked the Kansas City Chiefs to beat the Buffalo Bills today.
The first thing that strikes me is how badly all these so-called experts have turned their collective backs on recent NFL history. The Bills and Chiefs have met once a year for the past four years running. Every one of those contests was held in Kansas City, so if anything, the deck was probably stacked against the Bills, playing in front of a hostile environment.
In 2008 the Bills beat Kansas City 54-31. In 2009, Buffalo again won 16-10. In 2010, the Bills lost in overtime 13-10, when Todd Haley iced Rian Lindell, who missed a kick in regulation that would have provided the Bills with another win.
Last year, the Bills opened the year in Kansas City and thoroughly trounced a then-healthy Chiefs team 41-7.
Based on the above evidence, it would be reasonable to say that the Bills have the Chiefs' number. How can all the analysts turn away from this and pick Kansas City to win today? Do the experts not feel as though the Bills playing their home opener in front of a sold-out Ralph Wilson Stadium crowd will help propel them to a better effort?
Is the national media right?
Granted, neither team played an outstanding game in Week 1. Buffalo played a terrible first half in getting drubbed on the road by the New York Jets, 48-28. But the Chiefs were at home against the Atlanta Falcons and lost 40-24.
So, where does all of this optimism that the Chiefs are so much better than the Bills come from?
The Bills offer up the NFL's leading rusher after the first week in C.J. Spiller, who ran for 169 years against a Jets defense that is usually stout against the run. Buffalo will be rewarding Spiller with at least 20 touches, since Fred Jackson sprained his knee ligament last week.
I have no idea how this game will ultimately end, but I for one have no problem in going on the record to state that I think the Bills will continue their recent run of success against the Chiefs and will emerge with a 1-1 record after today's final gun has sounded.
Let's see what happens.