Ogletree became a hot commodity on the waiver wire this week after he caught eight passes for 114 yards and two touchdowns. He was targeted by quarterback Tony Romo 11 times, which is more than twice as much as any other Cowboy.
Owners who picked up Ogletree were wise to do so. He likely locked up the slot receiver job for the season, and he will be the wideout who moves into the starting lineup if Miles Austin or Dez Bryant goes down.
This makes him an excellent option to bolster any fantasy team’s depth, but those who have him on the bench should wait and see how he performs this week before throwing him into the starting lineup.
It has been 11 days since Dallas last played, and Jason Witten has had plenty of time to recover from his injury and get up to speed in practice. Romo has thrown to the tight end more often than any other Cowboys receiver in the past two seasons, and Witten tied with Miles Austin for the most targets in 2009.
Witten will be healthier and will be targeted more often against Seattle. The Seahawks allowed the seventh-least fantasy points to wide receivers last season, but gave up the 13th-most points to tight ends, according to ESPN.
In addition, the Giants were missing Prince Amukamara against the Cowboys, and lost Michael Coe during the game. This severely depleted New York's secondary, leaving Ogletree—as the third receiver—going against cornerbacks low on the depth chart.
He did beat Corey Webster for one of his touchdown catches, but long plays like that are rare for any receiver not named Calvin Johnson.
Ogletree’s Week 1 performance has earned him comparisons to Laurent Robinson, and at the end of the season, he may have numbers similar to the player he replaced. In 2011, Robinson caught 54 passes for 858 yards and 11 touchdowns.
Touchdowns are always the hardest statistic to predict, but it is unlikely that Ogletree will catch that many passes for scores. In addition, the majority of Robinson’s production came after Austin started struggling with injuries.
Both Austin and Bryant dealt with injuries in the preseason, and could very well miss time again this year. However, they will both be healthy and ready for the Cowboys’ Week 2 game.
Ogletree’s fantasy owners would be wise to wait at least another week to see if he will be a consistent performer, or a player who will produce only against favorable matchups.
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