With what we've seen in the first two weeks of college football, it stands to reason that, barring injury, we should not see much in the way of movement out of the Top Four teams. At least, not until the big November 3rd matchups of Alabama vs. LSU and Oregon vs. USC.
Sure, a loss before then would move any of the teams down; but without a loss, the odds of a team being jumped are somewhere between slim and none.
What's worse, and what should worry teams looking to claw their way into the mix, is that the two teams that lose on November 3rd are not guaranteed fall out of the Top Four.
Do teams outside of the Top Four have a shot to crack the 'Bama-USC-LSU-Ducks party?
While teams like Georgia, Clemson, Florida State and West Virginia look to be the real deal, the fight to jump one of the current Top Four is going to be an uphill battle. It would take a special combination of beating highly-ranked opponents, doing so in impressive fashion and hoping things go awry for one of the Big Four members.
As the polls will likely remain stagnant until the big first Saturday in November, it will be interesting to see where the computers and the BCS rankings slot the four top teams. Last year, the computers were in love with Oklahoma State, while the polls held the Cowboys down. We'll see how the computers view USC, Oregon, LSU and Alabama.
If there is truly room for opportunity, it might be a team like Oklahoma capitalizing on possible wins over Texas and Notre Dame to gain ground through some computer help.
Ultimately, and we'll hear this said time and again, they still have to play the game.
Given this weekend's madness—with Oklahoma State, Arkansas, Wisconsin and Nebraska all going down—it is not beyond the realm of imagination for any of the Big Four to tumble prior to November. However, as it stands now, they are in the catbird seat, and it is highly unlikely that teams steal one of their spots—at least not until they beat each other up.