Media Love the Texans, but the Numbers Don't and Other AFC South Stories

Nate DunlevyGuest ColumnistSeptember 6, 2012

These guys are not happy with FO.
These guys are not happy with FO.Troy Taormina-US PRESSWIRE

Not too long ago someone said the Texans were already being fitted with paper crowns.

Those papers have a lot of words, but not too many digits.

Today's Article of the Day comes from the Football Outsiders, who released their first DVOA numbers, playoff odds and staff predictions. While the numbers still favor the Texans, they are not nearly as positive as the scribes about Houston's status among the elite.

This isn't a surprise. I previewed what the Outsiders think of Houston a few weeks ago, but amidst the unbridled enthusiasm for the Texans, it was shocking to see their data coalesce.

Overall, the Texans ranked just 13th. On defense, they project to be just 15th. Funny, I've heard that same exact prediction somewhere else. Their playoff odds hover at just over 50 percent.

Those aren't the kind of juggernaut numbers that will please the Houston faithful.

Obviously, preseason projections have to be taken with a grain of salt, but no more so than the "expert predictions." The Outsiders openly claim they don't believe the numbers either, but they provide a needed counterbalance to the irrational exuberance that fans of many teams get swept away in.

If it's any consolation to Texans fans, FO writer Danny Tuccitto thinks they are going to the Super Bowl. And he thinks they'll win.

So there's that.


General Interest

Brian Burke of Advanced NFL Stats tells us why the passing game is more important than ever and what it means.

Forbes releases its list of how much each NFL franchise is worth.

Neil Paine of Pro Football Reference looks at quarterbacks in the clutch.


Tennessee Titans

Tom Gower of Total Titans previews the season.

John Glennon of The Tennessean says the Titans need pressure on Tom Brady.

Glennon says the McCourty brothers are trash talking each other.

Paul Kuharsky of says Sen'Derrick Marks likes to get in the backfield.


Indianapolis Colts

I interview Brett Solesky about the Bears and Colts for Colts Authority.

Mike Chappell of The Indianapolis Star says Andrew Luck expects to be nervous.

Conrad Brunner of 1070 the Fan doesn't know what to expect of these Colts.


Houston Texans

John McClain of the Houston Chronicle says Glover Quin looks forward to playing Ryan Tannehill

Dale Robertson of the Houston Chronicle thinks Tannehill is in for a tough test.

McClain writes that Derrick Newton is ready for his first start.


Jacksonville Jaguars

Ryan O'Halloran of The Florida Times-Union says the Jaguars can expect a healthy Adrian Peterson.

Brian Solomon of Forbes profiles Shad Khan.

Vito Stellino of The Florida Times-Union runs down the injury report.