Ultimate Fight Night 13 featuring Kenny Florian and Joe Lauzon has the potential for some of the most exciting fights of the year without having to cough up $40 for pay-per-view. The card is featuring some of the most exciting fighters from the Lightweight, Welterweight, and Light-Heavyweight divisions. Now it's time for an in-depth breakdown of the main card as well as my picks for the night.
This is a lightweight battle for the ages. With a total of 30 fights between the two, only two of the fights have gone to decision, both of these were losses for Florian. What does this mean? The fight is not likely to go the distance.
Both fighters have been on The Ultimate Fighter, Florian on Season 1 and Lauzon on Season 5. Playing into the outcome of the fight will be experience. Lauzon has had ten more fights than Florian, and has one those. However, Florian has been facing higher level competition since his UFC debut. Speaking of UFC debuts, did I mention that Lauzon took out former UFC Lightweight Champion Jens Pulver?
Overall, Lauzon has the most to gain from this fight. He has had two fights in the UFC since making his official debut on the season finale of The Ultimate Fighter 5. Because Florian has fought for the belt in the division, a win for Lauzon will help catapult him up the Lightweight rankings toward an eventual title shot. A large majority of both Lauzon and Florian's wins come from submissions, so expect to see some spectacular ground game from the two.
In respect to the ground, I give the advantage to Joe. He has had more fights and, in my opinion, the more solid ground game. In terms of experience, I give the advantage to Florian. He has had more fights in the UFC against tougher competition.
My Pick: Lauzon by TKO- Lauzon will get the takedown, get dominant position, and ground 'n pound Florian till he's forced to tap or the referee pulls Lauzon off.
This bout will feature two of the most exciting fighters in the Welterweight division. Thiago is on a four-fight win streak, of which three were finished via TKO. Karo is on a three-fight win streak, all going to unanimous decision. Thiago has the advantage on the feet while Karo has the advantage on the ground.
This fight, along with Lauzon and Florian, has potential fight of the night. Both fighters will come out strong and make an exciting fight. Karo is very good at developing game plans and has only lost four times, one by TKO and the other three by decision. Thiago has finished more than half of his fights via TKO.
My Pick: Karo Parisyan via Split Decision. Karo's ability to make a game plan and follow it is uncanny. He'll use his judo to take the fight to the mat, but don't see him finishing Thiago
This is an intriguing match-up in my opinion. Hamill has not fought since his controversial split-decision loss to Michael Bisping which will be just a few days shy of seven months on April 2nd. Boetsch, however, has just come off an upset in defeating David Heath at UFC 81 last month. Both fighters have wrestling background, Hamill's a little more in depth. Either way the fight goes, it will be exciting.
My Pick: Tim Boetsch via (T)KO. Boetsch's experience will help him take the victory in this fight. Hamill may have the better wrestling experience, but Boetsch has the better mma experience
Another exciting fight with skilled fighters. Diaz, winner of The Ultimate Fighter Season 5, is on the high road, undefeated in the UFC 3-0. Pellegrino is 3-1 in the octagon, losing a unanimous decision to Joe Stevenson. Pellegrino has high school wrestling background as a finalist for two years. Diaz, on the other hand, is a Ceaser Gracie Brown Belt.
My Pick: Nate Diaz via submission. While the majority of both fighter's victories come from submission, I see Diaz's utilizing his jiu-jitsu better than Pellegrino's.
This Light-Heavyweight showdown is the first fight of the night. Irvin has been in and out of the UFC; in his last two fights, he blew out his ACL and won via DQ (Illegal Knee). In Alexander's last few fights, he's knocked off Keith Jardine and Alessio Sakara in a total time of less than two minutes only to lose to Thiago Silva via first round KO. His victory over Jardine helped is career a lot, especially since Jardine knocked off Forrest Griffin and Chuck Liddell.
My Pick: Houston Alexander via KO. Neither fighter appears to have a solid ground game and Alexander's strength and reach will play into him getting the KO.
Part II coming soon.