Donald Cerrone might not find himself in the top main event of UFC 150, but he could easily have the most deciding victory of the night after pummeling Melvin Guillard.
Cerrone has won 10 of his last 13 fights going back to his World Extreme Cagefighting days, and he hasn't won those matches by slim margins.
The man nicknamed "Cowboy" has six submission victories and one TKO during his last 10 victories, which doesn't bode well for his opponent. Guillard has been no stranger to tapping out as of late, with his last two losses coming due to submitting to rear-naked choke holds.
Cerrone told Ariel Helwani of MMAFighting.com that he doesn't particularly like to watch tape and admitted he hasn't watched Guillard's last few fights. His reason for that being that he believes fighters don't change.
While it may seem like Cerrone is entering this fight with too much confidence, he's right not to fear his UFC 150 opponent. Guillard wasn't even able to make weight for this fight, showing that whatever training he has been doing to get ready for Cerrone has not been rigorous enough to even get his weight down.
To Guillard's credit, he did win his most recent fight against Fabricio Camoes at UFC 148 and has been in the cage more recently than Cowboy, who hasn't fought since May.
That may be true, but Cerrone doesn't have two recent submission losses to think about in the back of his mind. In fact, just three fights ago, Cowboy won his bout against Dennis Siver thanks to a rear-naked choke.
It's obvious that Guillard is the least conditioned and least confident of the two competitors heading into UFC 150, and those two reasons are just part of why Cerrone will see his hand raised at the end of this bout.