It's March again...do we have a good tourney in store for us?
There is no clear pick for the title this year, and I mean how could there be? With No. 1 teams falling more then the stock market, it is hard to say who will win.
But we can look and see a few teams that should be there in the end. The No. 1 seeds should look something like this:
Pittsburgh (25-3): Even though they just lost to Providence in embarrassing fashion they have key wins, including a win against UConn on the Huskies' home floor.
Connecticut (25-2): One loss came against a Georgetown team that has had a disappointing second half of the season, and that is not going to hurt them too much. The other loss is against Pitt—a No. 1 team twice this year.
North Carolina (24-3): The Tar Heels have had two shaky losses to Boston College and Maryland, where they blew a 16 point lead. They also lost to Wake Forest, who has been having a good year. If Carolina can play like they are capable of and also step it up on defense, they cannot be beat.
My last number one seed...okay, everybody is waiting for it...and it's not Oklahoma.
I'm not saying that they are not deserving of it, but they have lost two in a row, and more importantly they have lost Blake Griffin, possibly for a couple more games.
I'm also not taking Memphis. They are a good team and made a run all the way to the championship game last year. But their strength of schedule is too weak for them to be a No. 1 seed.
For my final No. 1 spot, I'm taking Louisville. Even though they have also had some shaky losses to Western Kentucky, Minnesota, UNLV, UConn, and that blowout loss to Notre Dame, I think that when they play good they can beat anyone. I also think they are fit to make a run in the tourney.
When it's all said and done, look for North Carolina to be cutting down the nets in April.
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