Fantasy Football: Terrell Owens Signs with the Seahawks, Don't Pop That Corn Yet
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Multiple outlets (including Jay Glazer of FOX Sports) have reported that mercurial WR Terrell Owens (T.O. if you're nasty) has signed a one-year contract with the Seattle Seahawks. The contract follows a workout where Owens allegedly ran a sub 4.5 40-yard dash. That might not sound impressive after having watched the Olympics, but it's pretty impressive for a 38-year-old WR less than two years removed from a torn ACL. Not to mention the fact that Owens was never really known for his speed.
My first reaction upon hearing the news, "I thought that Hard Knocks was filming in Miami." Then logic took over. Ben Obomanu is probably as good as gone. Golden Tate probably won't get cut, but he's not likely to start. Since neither Owens nor the newly signed Braylon Edwards figures to contribute on special teams, only one of them seems likely to make the club.
The one who makes the team will most likely start across from Sidney Rice with Doug Baldwin operating out of the slot. The signing of Edwards and Owens should not negatively impact the fantasy prospects of Rice and Baldwin. Although, both might drop in drafts, and Owens could very well be the first Seahawk not named Marshawn Lynch to be drafted.
So what can you expect from Terrell Eldorado Owens? I do actually expect him to beat out Braylon Edwards for the job. Owens has been a productive WR more recently than Edwards even though Edwards was on a roster last season. Not to mention that Edwards has had problems staying healthy, especially in the last few seasons.
Assuming Owens starts for the Seahawks, what will he do for fantasy owners? Marshawn Lynch should be the primary weapon in the red zone, and Kellen Winslow could also see red-zone looks. But there should be enough to go around, especially if Matt Flynn starts and gives the Seahawks above-average production from the QB position. Call it maybe five TDs for Owens if he starts 12+ games.
Will you draft Terrell Owens in fantasy this year?
Don't expect a monster season, or a ton of yardage. And remember that Owens has been amongst the league leaders in dropped passes more often that not throughout his career. How about 50 receptions for 875 yards? His floor could be much lower, but I doubt that his ceiling is much higher.
I'm not Ms. Cleo, so there's no way I'm exactly right on this. For argument's/speculation's sake lets go with 50 receptions, 875 yards and five TDs. That's 110 points in a standard league, and 160 points in a PPR (point-per-reception) league. That's pretty much a WR4 who you might be able to use as a WR3 or FLEX play with a positive matchup.
You shouldn't be drafting a WR4 in most drafts until you hit at least Round 9. Possibly even later given your league format/settings and previous draft picks. If you want to draft Terrell Owens in Round 10, make like Jadakiss and knock yourself out. Most 10th round picks aren't going to be significant contributors to your fantasy team anyway. But, due to his name, Owens will be drafted before that. Don't be that guy.
For the record, I'm in a 14-team PPR league with deep benches. I wouldn't draft Owens unless he was literally my last pick. Like after I already drafted my DST and kicker. There's a ton of WR4s with more upside who will be available after some owner reaches for Owens. For instance, in PPR leagues, I'd much rather have Owens' less-heralded teammate Doug Baldwin.
Just for kicks, I will rank the top five "aging, injured or possibly washed-up wide receivers" for fantasy purposes:
- Santana Moss
- Randy Moss
- Donald Driver
- Terrell Owens
- Chad Johnson
Thanks for reading. Where will you draft Owens this season? If you have anything to add, please use the comments. Good luck this season.
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