Olympic Gymnastics 2012: Aly Raisman's Chances of Taking Individual Gold
Aly Raisman has shown herself to be one of the best gymnasts in the world.
Although disappointed by her fourth-place finish in the individual all-around, Raisman can still be proud of the fact that she made the individual final and helped the U.S. win a team gold.
Now, Raisman turns her attention to the balance beam and floor exercise finals where she's favored to medal in one—and not so much in the other.
But, what are her real chances of taking an individual gold in one of those events?
On the beam, I don't think her chances are that great, as China's Sui Lu, Russia's Viktoria Komova and U.S. teammate Gabrielle Douglas have to be the favorites going in.
But, the event is more wide open than most think, so she still has the ability to win a medal as long as she cleans up the little things.
At the very least, she has a three in eight chance at winning a medal. Those odds aren't too bad.
The floor is where Raisman is expected to medal.
Throughout competition, she has consistently put up one of the top scores on the floor.
During qualifications, she scored a qualification-best 15.325, while also putting up the best floor routine in the team final with a 15.300. In the individual all-around, she scored the second-best score with a 15.133.
Romania's Sandra Izbasa bested her in the individual all-around, and will also be in the apparatus final.
How many individual medals will Aly Raisman win?
Also challenging for the event medal will be 2010 world champion Lauren Mitchell of Australia, Russia's Ksenia Afanasyeva and U.S. teammate Jordyn Wieber, who is seeking redemption for not making the all-around final.
Needless to say, there's a lot of competition out there for Raisman if she wants to win gold.
However, Raisman has the distinction of being one of two gymnasts to have scored above a 15.000 in all three floor routines she's performed, with Izbasa being the other.
So, what are Raisman's chances in the floor?
Pretty good in my book.
She's clearly shown a great floor routine throughout the Olympics and will no doubt put up another good routine.
My prediction is that she wins gold.
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