Michael Phelps: Breaking Down Swimming Star's Chances at Gold in Upcoming Events

Ben Chodos@bchodosCorrespondent IIAugust 2, 2012

LONDON, ENGLAND - AUGUST 01:  Michael Phelps of the United States look on after he competed in the first semifinal heat of the Men's 200m Individual Medleyon Day 5 of the London 2012 Olympic Games at the Aquatics Centre on August 1, 2012 in London, England.  (Photo by Adam Pretty/Getty Images)
Adam Pretty/Getty Images

Michael Phelps’ 2012 London Olympics have not been perfect, but he still has an excellent chance to add to his collection of gold medals.

Phelps failed to medal in the 400-meter individual medley, then was a part of the 4x100-meter freestyle relay team that earned silver after being edged out by France. 

South Africa’s Chad le Clos caught Phelps at the very end of the 200-meter butterfly, giving the 27-year-old his second silver medal in London. Phelps then broke the record for most total Olympic medals by a single athlete when the 4x200-meter freestyle relay team cruised to gold.

Now, Phelps will compete in three more events before the indoor swimming competition wraps up on August 4. Here are his chances at gold in each event.

All schedules and results available at NBCOlympics.com.


200-meter Individual Medley

Odds: 5-1

Phelps Olympics opened with a shockingly poor performance in the 400-meter individual medley, but he has an excellent shot to turn in a very different performance in the 200-meter race. 

The 400-meter IM is a notoriously grueling race, and Phelps was noticeably exhausted after finishing. With the distance cut in half, the 27-year-old will have a chance to let loose. 

Still, he will have to face teammate Ryan Lochte, who dominated the 400-meter race. At the U.S. Olympic trials, Phelps edged out Lochte to win this race. 

But the 15-time gold medalist has not found his stroke in London while Lochte has been on fire. It will be extremely difficult for Phelps to edge out his rival in this race.


100-meter Butterfly

Odds: 2-1

For most of the race, the 200-meter butterfly looked as if it would go as nearly every one of Phelps’ butterfly races have gone in recent years, with the American megastar cruising to victory.

But in the last leg, South Africa’s Chad le Clos caught him and beat out Phelps for the gold medal by .05 seconds. 

Again, the shorter distance in this race will benefit Phelps. He will jump out to an early lead and will not slow down in the final leg.

This will be a wire-to-wire win for the American.


4x100-meter Medley Relay

Odds: 3-1 

This event will bring the indoor swimming competition—and likely Phelps’ Olympic career—to a close. 

He will swim the butterfly leg of this race, and the American team will be the favorites heading into the race. Phelps was part of the team that won the gold medal in this event at the 2011 World Championships.

Even with a few recent mishaps in London, there is no swimmer in the world that can cross the pool faster using the butterfly stroke.

If Phelps and his teammates are at their best, they will take this race.