New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: A Breakdown of the Subway Series, Round 2

Doug Rush@Doug_RushSenior Analyst IJune 21, 2012

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: A Breakdown of the Subway Series, Round 2

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    Two weeks ago, the Yankees and Mets faced off in the first part of the Subway Series.

    The Yankees swept the series and took all three games at Yankee Stadium.

    Now, here we are, two weeks later and the two teams that play six miles away from each other will square off at Citi Field.

    The Yankees are 41-27 and come into the series in first place in the American League East with a 2.5 lead over the Baltimore Orioles.

    The Yankees had won 10 in a row before dropping two straight to the Atlanta Braves this week.

    The Mets are 38-32 and come into the series in second place in the National League East, three games behind the first place Washington Nationals.

    The Mets have won three straight following a sweep of the Baltimore Orioles.

    Like the one played two weeks ago, both teams are battling for position in their respective divisions and while these games head-to-head aren't going to impact the division, it will help each team if they can take the series.

    Lets take a look at the upcoming series for this weekend with predictions for each game.

Game 1: Friday, June 22

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    7:05 p.m., Citi Field

    Andy Pettitte (3-2, 2.77) vs. Jonathan Niese (4-3, 3.82)

    These two pitchers met in the third game of the first series.

    Both pitched well and got a no-decision, as the game was decided in a battle of the bullpens.

    Pettitte continues to give the Yankees quality starts, despite taking two straight no-decisions against the Mets and Nationals.

    If not for a blown lead by the bullpen, Pettitte would have won his fourth game against Washington on Saturday.

    Niese, like Pettitte, also pitched well two Sundays ago and could have gotten the win against the Yankees, but the Mets bullpen let him down.

    In his last start against the Cincinnati Reds, Niese gave up four runs in seven innings and took the loss.

    I like the Yankees in the first game behind Pettitte because he's been well-known to put an end to a losing streak for the Yankees.

    Prediction: Yankees 4, Mets 2

Game 2: Saturday, June 23

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    7:15 p.m., Citi Field

    Ivan Nova (9-2, 4.32) vs. Chris Young (1-1, 3.06)

    The second game will be broad-casted on national TV on FOX.

    Ivan Nova has been pitching very well for the Yankees, lowering his ERA over a full run in the last month and has won five straight starts.

    Nova really solidifies the back-end of the rotation and has a chance to be the first Yankee starter in 2012 to reach 10 wins.

    Nova is 1-0 with a 3.09 ERA in two career starts against the Mets.

    On the other side, Chris Young has been one of the most injury-plagued pitchers you can find in the sport.

    The last time Young made 30 starts was back in 2007 with the San Diego Padres, and then he ran into injury troubles.

    With the Mets, he's made a total of seven starts in the year-plus he's been with the team; four of those were in 2011.

    He's been healthy for a short time in 2012. Career-wise against the Yankees, he's also 1-0 with a 6.23 ERA.

    In Game 2, I am taking the Yankees again and expect them to be patient on Young and cause him to make mistakes.

    Prediction: Yankees 6, Mets 1

Game 3: Sunday, June 24

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    8:10 p.m., Citi Field

    CC Sabathia (9-3, 3.55) vs. R.A. Dickey (11-1, 2.00)

    In the third and final game at Citi Field, it will feature the two team aces squaring off against each other on Sunday Night Baseball, which will be broadcast on ESPN.

    For the Yankees, CC Sabathia will look to get his 10th win of the season against the Mets.

    In his last start against the Braves, CC pitched a complete game, striking out 10 batters and picked up his ninth win.

    Career wise against the Mets, Sabathia is 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA in four starts.

    For the Mets, there hasn't been a more dominant pitcher in the game right now than R.A. Dickey.

    Dickey hasn't lost a start since April 18 and in his last four starts, Dickey has thrown a complete game in three of them.

    In his previous two starts against the Rays and Orioles, Dickey has thrown back-to-back one-hitters with 25 strikeouts.

    Against the Yankees, Dickey has made nine appearances and three starts and has a 3-1 record with a 2.30 ERA.

    It's so hard to pick against Dickey, and until someone beats him, I'll go with the knuckle-baller to shine in a pitching duel.

    Prediction: Mets 3, Yankees 2

Previous Series at Citi Field

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    When the Yankees and Mets have played at Citi Field or at Shea Stadium, the Yankees have seen the most success.

    In 2011, the Yankees took two out of three.

    On July 1, the Yankees won 5-1; Ivan Nova got the win over Jonathan Niese. On July 2, the Yankees won 5-2; Bartolo Colon got the win over Dillon Gee. On July 3, the Mets won 3-2; Francisco Rodriguez got the win over Luis Ayala.

    In 2010, the Mets took two out of three.

    On May 21, the Yankees won 2-1; Javier Vazquez got the win over Elmer Dessens. On May 22, the Mets won 5-3; Mike Pelfrey got the win over Phil Hughes. On May 23, the Mets won 6-4; Johan Santana got the win over CC Sabathia.

    In 2009, the Yankees swept the series.

    On June 26, the Yankees won 9-1; CC Sabathia got the win over Mike Pelfrey. On June 27, the Yankees won 5-0; A.J. Burnett got the win over Tim Redding. On June 28, the Yankees won 4-2; Chien-Ming Wang got the win over Livan Hernandez.

    In 2008, the Yankees took two out of three.

    On June 27, the Yankees won 9-0; Sidney Ponson got the win over Pedro Martinez. On June 28, the Yankees won 3-2; Andy Pettitte got the win over Johan Santana. On June 29, the Mets won 3-1; Oliver Perez got the win over Darrell Rasner.

    Of the games played in Queens over the last four matchups, the Yankees have the edge, 8-4, and have won three out of the four series.

Series After Interleague

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    After the Yankees play the Mets in their final interleague series, the Bombers will return home to resume regular American League games.

    From June 25-27, the Yankees will play the Cleveland Indians at Yankee Stadium.

    From June 28-July 1, the Yankees will play the Chicago White Sox at Yankee Stadium.

    But for now, we will get three very exciting and competitive games between the Yankees and Mets at Citi Field with expected sell-out crowds filling the building.

    The battle for bragging rights of the city will be on again.

    May the best team win in round two.