Arizona is just one inevitable win over Florida State away from the championship round. The Wildcats have peaked at the right time, and they are playing fabulous and fundamentally sound ball.
Of course, we don't need to tell Florida State this; they know it as well as anyone. Arizona beat them in their Omaha opener, 4-3.
As a result, Florida State has had to claw their way back to this rematch through the loser's bracket. The extra workload for FSU shouldn't be a huge detriment in this game. The ace for both teams has not pitched since these two met the first time, and each should be ready to go.
While it hasn't been announced, you can expect Arizona ace Kurt Heyer to match up against FSU ace Brandon Leibrandt, and if this is the case, neither team receives a huge advantage.
Both pitchers have been outstanding. Heyer has a greater ability to worker deeper into games—he has thrown seven complete games this year—though the Wildcats' bullpen is weaker.
Who will advance?
Where this game is really going to be decided is at the plate. The Wildcats lineup is hitting from top to bottom. In fact, they have eight everyday players hitting over .300 in the postseason.
This lineup will put too much pressure on the Seminoles, and it will lead to runs and a berth in the championship. It will do so in the next game, but they don't have to.
FSU has to beat Arizona twice if they want to advance, and their chances shrink drastically in the second game. That is where their extra work from the loser's bracket will really work against them, as they start to stretch their pitching thin and the Wildcats will still be sitting pretty.
Florida State has had a great run. They are just going up against the wrong team at the wrong time.