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On the subject of home-grown stars, Cole Hamels, number 35, is currently eighth among Phillies pitchers in bWAR (24.5), with a chance to take over seventh place by 2012’s end.
However, his contract status could affect this. If he resigns, there’s a good chance he’ll stick around long enough to earn a retired number. As is, he probably hasn’t done enough, so leaving would more or less end his chances. Seven years and The World Series MVP have been good, but look rather lacking compared to the resumes of Roberts, Carlton, Alexander and Schilling. They aren’t too far off from Bunning’s numbers, however Bunning also didn’t see his number retired for three decades. Take that as you will.
As for their other two aces, Roy Halladay has been impressive in his three seasons in Philadelphia, racking up 13.7 bWAR to date. However, he’s only signed through next year, meaning he’ll have to resign with them AND maintain his dominance. It can happen, but keep in mind he just turned 35 (and, in any case, he should have already locked up a retired number with the Blue Jays anyway; getting a second team would be exceedingly difficult).
Cliff Lee should be around longer (through 2015 or ‘16), but like Halladay, his recent addition to the team means he has a bit of a hole to climb out of. So far, he stands at 10.9 bWAR. A strong finish to the deal could get him to about where Hamels is now. But even then, he’s already 33, going on 34. A strong finish to the career isn’t out of the question, but it’s still too early to name him likely.
Shane Victorino has been good in his eight years with the team, totaling 21.8 bWAR and 25 fWAR. However, he’s up to be a free agent this offseason, and even if he does resign his next deal will start at the age of 32. Again, if he resigns with them AND manages to stave off the effects of aging, he might have a case. Neither is guaranteed, though.
Carlos Ruiz is also a fan favorite, but he’s only been worth 13.8 bWAR and 16 fWAR; that doesn’t even match up to Darren Daulton. And, as a 33-year-old catcher, I can’t see him improving much.
I can only think of two other recent players to throw into the discussion. One is Pat Burrell. Number-wise, he probably wasn’t worthy (14.8 bWAR and 19 fWAR in his 9 years in Philadelphia), but I figured he was worth mentioning in case he was a fan favorite.
The other player is Scott Rolen, who was great in his seven years with the team (28.1 bWAR, 31 fWAR). As a fan of Rolen, I would like to see his number retired somewhere, and I’m not sure the Cardinals will do it. Realistically, the Phillies have just as good a case for retiring his number. However, I get the feeling he isn’t exactly loved. Maybe like Dick Allen, when he makes the Hall (and like Schilling, it should definitely be a “when,” not an “if”), the team will reconsider. For his career, Rolen has been worth 65.8 bWAR and 74 fWAR.