Sunday, February 8th, 2009
Boston College @ Wake Forest
Boston College enters tomorrows game with a five game winning streak. The streak matches BC's longest win streak in ACC play since first joining the league in 2005-06 when they won their first five league contests.
Boston College is 7-1 all time against Wake Forest. Wake Forest gained its first victory over BC one month ago when they defeated the Eagles at Chestnut Hill.
Tyrese Rice is averaging 21 points, three rebounds, and three assists per game in five career games verse Wake. He has shot 60 percent from the field and 65 percent from behind the arc.
BC has a 1-2 record against nationally ranked foes. BC lost to Purdue and Wake Forest. They defeated the then number one team North Carolina.
BC is averaging 76 points per game this season. Tyrese Rice, Rakim Sanders, Joe Trapani, and Corey Raji are all averaging double figure scoring.
BC has scored 80 points in 13 of its 24 contests; they are 13-0 in those games.
The charity stripe has been BC's best season this year. They have made the most trips to the line in the ACC. After nine league games, BC is shooting 80 percent from the line.
BC is allowing just 69 points a game this season, while holding opponents to 40 percent shooting from the field. When BC out rebounds their opponent they are 13-2.
BC is outscoring their opponents in the first, second, and overtime periods.
When BC shoots 40-49 percent they are 12-2. When they shoot 50 percent or higher, they are 5-0.
When BC shoots a better percentage than their opponent, they are 15-0. When BC leads at the half they are 14-0 and when they are tied or losing, they are 4-6.
When BC holds their opponent to 60-69 points, they are 7-0.
When the BC bench outscores the opponents bench, they are 10-1.
The Demon Deacons are coming off a setback loss to Miami. The Deacs are looking for their first defeat of BC at the Joel.
It will be interesting to see of McFarland reclaims the starting job at center after David Weaver replaced him in the starting lineup against Miami.
The key to Wake's success has been accurate shooting. Four of their five starters are shooting over 50 percent, while the the 5th starter, Williams, is at 48 percent.
Wake holds opponents to just 37 percent shooting. That is tops in the league and third in the nation.
This season Wake Forest is 1-1 after a loss. When Wake Forest scores first they are 13-1.
When the opponent shoots more free throws than Wake, they are just 1-3.
This will be a very tough game for Boston College. As we saw last month, BC doesn't match up well with Wake Forest. Wake has the size advantage over BC, not to mention the talent. BC however has shown signs of greatness, when they defeated North Carolina.
It will interesting to see how Wake responds to getting beat down by Miami in the second half.
For BC to win:
Rice, Sanders, Jackson, Trapani, Raji: Combine for 65
Southern and Dunn: Combine for eight points and eight rebounds.
As a team: BC needs to score more than 80.
BC has to get to the free throw line more than Wake does.
BC needs to score first.
BC needs to shoot 40-50 percent from the field.
Rice needs to stay on the floor and out of foul trouble.
BC bench needs to outscore Wake bench.
BC needs to shoot a higher percentage than Wake.
BC needs to withstand the Wake runs and hold them under 75 points.
Control tempo, slow the game down.
For Wake to win:
Score more than 80 points
Wake needs to get to the line more than BC.
Wake's bench needs to outscore BC's.
Control tempo; Wake needs to get out and run.
Boston College has been playing some solid basketball of late. They do, however, have problems maintaing leads.
They nearly blew a 20 point first half lead to Virginia. They blew a 10 point lead over Virginia Tech twice (@VT, vs.VT), they blew a 20 point first half lead to NC State, a 10 point lead of Georgia Tech, and a 10 point lead over Miami.
BC needs to stay consistent with their attack. This will be BC's first real challenge in a some time now.
Wake Forest needs to get out and run on BC. If Wake controls the tempo BC has no shot.
If Wake comes out of the gates a little slow, I wouldn't be surprised. They were completely dominated by Miami in the second half. We will see if it carries over.
As well as BC has been playing of late, I think the Demon Deacs are pretty upset, and sorry BC, but they are going to take it out on you.
With that being said, I wouldn't be surprised if BC pulled this one out late.
Wake 80-BC 67.