Photo Courtesy of MMA Mania
John Heinis: Martin "The Hitman" Kampmann pulled off a stunning comeback win in March over former title contender Thiago Alves, countering a sloppy takedown attempt into a picture-perfect mounted guillotine.
While Kampmann was a game opponent for the 14 minutes before that, he was clearly being outstruck for the majority of the bout.
The Xtreme Couture product has won four of his past six and could easily have seen a title shot by now had he not lost two extremely controversial decisions to Jake Shields and Diego Sanchez along the way.
Kampmann's biggest claim to fame right now is holding a split decision victory over current interim welterweight champion Carlos Condit, although that bout happened back in April of 2009.
A slick striker with very underrated jiu-jitsu, many are still giving the advantage in this bout to Jake "The Juggernaut" Ellenberger.
Ellenberger is 6-1 under the UFC banner, with his sole loss being a razor-thin split decision that went the way of Condit.
Since then (Sept. 2009), Ellenberger has won five in a row and has already been clamoring for a rematch with Condit after beating top-10 opponents Jake Shields and Sanchez one after the other.
While Ellenberger is recognized as a wrestler with heavy hands, he also has a purple belt in BJJ, which, if nothing else, has given him solid submission defense.
Kampmann's BJJ brown belt may test this, but a submission win on either end seems unlikely.
Expect an entertaining bout where Ellenberger's takedowns and solid chin are just enough to have him eke out a decision win.
Jake Ellenberger via split decision
Dan Hiergesell: This is a very tough fight to pick.
Both Martin Kampmann and Jake Ellenberger have been on fire over their past few fights, combining to beat the likes of Jake Shields, Thiago Alves, Rick Story and Diego Sanchez.
The fact is that this fight, presumably a welterweight No. 1 contender bout for the right to face interim champion Carlos Condit by the end of the year, seems amazing considering it's being shown for free on FX.
But when it comes down to the action inside the cage, I feel as if Kampmann's kickboxing is too strong to ignore.
Sure, Ellenberger has heavy hands and great wrestling, but Kampmann has destroyed strikers in the past and showcased an ability to stuff takedowns as well.
With that said, I do see both of these guys being tentative. This is a big fight for these guys, each of whom has made claims as a top contender over the past year.
But considering the magnitude of the fight and the fact that both guys could secure a TKO victory at any moment, the first round and a half may be a feeling-out process.
"The Hitman" should rain strikes from the outside and inside the clinch for the majority of the fight. He just can't stay on his back for too long or Ellenberger will make him pay.
Martin Kampmann via unanimous decision
Dwight Wakabayashi: This is a fight with large implications and both fighters are ready to punch a ticket to the welterweight title shot they both want so much.
Kampmann is a lot more experienced than Ellenberger and his accurate all-around striking will test Ellenberger like he hasn't been tested before.
I see Jake taking longer to find his mark, but he'll hurt Kampmann more when he does in a very entertaining fight.
Jake Ellenberger via Round 3 TKO