Fantasy Baseball 2012: Should Owners Sell High on Carlos Zambrano?

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Fantasy Baseball 2012: Should Owners Sell High on Carlos Zambrano?
Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

With the MLB season a little over a month old, fantasy managers are beginning to ask themselves if Carlos Zambrano's rise back to relevancy can continue. Big Z has been a fantasy head-scratcher for some time now, but owners should keep hold of him and enjoy his comeback season.

In seven starts this season, the former Chicago Cub has posted a 1-2 record with a 1.88 ERA and just three home runs given up. While the wins column is a bit less than what owners would like to see, Zambrano hasn't been the issue on that front; his fellow Miami Marlins have failed to give him run support.

The Marlins scored just nine runs total for Big Z in his four April starts, and despite the team winning all of his starts in May so far, Zambrano has just one win to show for his efforts.

However, in this wonderful game of fantasy we play, one cannot try to chase wins. It's a stat that even the best can't predict. Just know that if Zambrano continues to pitch well it helps your team regardless, and the wins should come eventually.

Owners of the Marlins' hurler are certainly enjoying his season so far, but the trade-happy ones are probably wondering if it's time to pull the trigger and send out offers including Zambrano.

While that's a good thought to be having around this time, it's not the best idea.

There are a few issues with trying to trade Big Z. His name-value has dropped so far in the past few years that your trade partner is going to completely discredit his 2012 numbers.

On top of trade partners devaluing arguably the best performing pitcher on your roster, there's always that chance Zambrano continues to be a great pitcher for the rest of the season and you just lost a quality player.

The 2011 season wasn't one to brag about for Big Z, but in 2010 he finished the year with double-digit wins and a 3.33 ERA, which was his lowest in that category since 2005.

Throwing out the 2002 season, Zambrano has never posted fewer than nine wins in his career, and from '03 to '08 he never posted less than 13.

The thing about "selling high" on Zambrano is that chances are your league won't believe he can continue to be so stellar. So just keep hold of him and realize that he has a solid chance to be one of your biggest draft-day steals when all is said and done.

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