NFL Early Predictions 2012: Green Bay Packers Sports Betting Preview

Jeff GrantContributor IMay 10, 2012

NFL Early Predictions 2012: Green Bay Packers Sports Betting Preview

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    The Green Bay Packers were knocked out of last year's NFL playoffs by the eventual Super Bowl champions, suffering a 37-20 loss to the New York Giants as eight-point home favorites in the NFC divisional round at Lambeau Field.

    Cantor Gaming still has plenty of respect for the team that finished with the league's best regular season record at 15-1 a year ago, releasing the Packers as favorites in all 16 games on their 2012 NFL schedule.

    Aaron Rodgers is the most feared offensive player in the NFL, coming off an MVP campaign that had him complete 68.3 percent of his passes for 4,643 yards and 45 touchdowns.

    Let's take a closer look at the Packers upcoming season from a betting perspective. 

    Lines from Cantor Gaming.

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers, Week 1

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    One of the marquee NFL games in Week 1, features two NFL playoff teams from a year ago.

    San Francisco 49ers head coach Jim Harbaugh received plenty of praise in leading his team to a 13-3 regular season record, eventually falling to the New York Giants in the NFC Championship Game.

    Green Bay opened the 2011 season with a 42-34 win over the New Orleans Saints as 4.5-point home favorites, which could have me looking to lay the points in this spot.

    I'm going to wait until a more favorable line presents itself, as I anticipate all of the early action landing on the road underdogs in this matchup. 

    Las Vegas Line: Green Bay Packers -6.5

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers, Week 2

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    The Green Bay Packers won and covered both of their 2011 meetings with the Chicago Bears, including a 35-21 win as 13-point home favorites in Week 16.

    Chicago played that Sunday night affair without the services of quarterback Jay Cutler, with Josh McCown throwing for 242 yards and a touchdown, while also tossing two interceptions.

    The Packers are 7-2 against the spread in the last nine meetings in this series. 

    Las Vegas Line: Green Bay Packers -7.5

Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks, Week 3

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    A trip to the Pacific Northwest is the first trap game of the season for the Green Bay Packers, as a home game against the New Orleans Saints is next on the schedule.

    From a betting standpoint, I can't get involved in this contest, as I'll need to see how the Saints respond to an offseason of scandal.

    Seattle hopes that New Orleans gets off to a perfect 2-0 start, which would provide a look-ahead spot for the visitor to potentially fall in one of the loudest stadiums in the NFL. 

    Las Vegas Line: Green Bay Packers -6

New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers, Week 4

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    These two teams opened the 2011 NFL season, with the Green Bay Packers walking away with a 42-34 win as 4.5-point home favorites.

    Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers and New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees combined for 731 passing yards in a high-scoring affair, but one of them will be playing this game without his head coach.

    New Orleans will be led into battle by assistant head coach Joe Vitt due to the season-long suspension handed down to Sean Payton.

    I'll pass on any games involving the Saints at this time. 

    Las Vegas Line: Green Bay Packers -7

Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts, Week 5

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    The Green Bay Packers escaped with a 30-23 win over the Carolina Panthers as 10.5-point road favorites in Week 2 last year, which likely played a significant role in shaping this line.

    Carolina was led by the first overall selection of the 2011 NFL draft, with quarterback Cam Newton throwing for 432 yards.

    The Indianapolis Colts will find themselves in a similar role in trying to pull off an improbable home upset at Lucas Oil Stadium, as they begin life with this year's top pick Andrew Luck.

    I'm leaning towards laying the points in this affair.

    Las Vegas Line: Green Bay Packers -9.5

Green Bay Packers at Houston Texans, Week 6

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    The Green Bay Packers will play their second straight road game against an AFC South opponent when taking on the Houston Texans in Week 6, as they will focus on stopping one of the more potent offenses in the league.

    I'm immediately drawn to the home underdog due to this being the shortest price for the Packers in the current betting odds for the entire season.

    Houston could potentially be favored by a point or more when this game kicks off inside Reliant Stadium on Sunday, Oct. 14.

    Las Vegas Line: Green Bay Packers -1.5

Green Bay Packers at St. Louis Rams, Week 7

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    I don't recommend jumping at the chance of laying single digits in this spot, as the St. Louis Rams will be welcoming in a team that is playing on the road for the third consecutive week.

    Green Bay will also be facing another top-flight running back, coming off a game against Houston's Arian Foster, and now taking on the likes of Steven Jackson.

    The Packers captured a 24-3 victory as 14-point home favorites in last year's meeting, with Jackson rushing for 96 yards on 18 carries.

    Taking a wait-and-see approach. 

    Las Vegas Line: Green Bay Packers -9.5

Jacksonville Jaguars at Green Bay Packers, Week 8

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    Jacksonville Jaguars star Maurice Jones-Drew completes the trifecta of quality running backs that the Green Bay Packers will face in the middle of the season, coming off a 2011 campaign that saw him lead the NFL with 1,606 rushing yards.

    Head coach Mike McCarthy will need to get his team motivated for this part of the schedule, as they host the Arizona Cardinals the following week before a much-needed bye.

    I'd only lay the points if the Packers finish their previous three-game road trip with a losing record.  

    Las Vegas Line: Green Bay Packers -14

Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers, Week 9

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    The Arizona Cardinals are going to be one of my "play-on" teams for the 2012 NFL season, winning five of their last six games a year ago.

    Sports bettors should grab this number due to the Cardinals 2-1 against-the-spread record as a double-digit underdog in 2011.

    This has a seven-point Green Bay Packers win written all over it. 

    Las Vegas Line: Green Bay Packers -13

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions, Week 11

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    The last seven weeks of the season will likely determine if the Green Bay Packers are going to reach the playoffs, as it's one of the more challenging stretches for any NFL team this season.

    Green Bay came away with a 27-15 win over the Detroit Lions as four-point road favorites on Thanksgiving Day last year, with quarterback Aaron Rodgers throwing for 307 yards and two touchdowns.

    The Packers have covered five of the last six meetings in the Motor City.

    Las Vegas Line: Green Bay Packers -3

Green Bay Packers at New York Giants, Week 12

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    There's only one team that could have the Green Bay Packers looking past the Detroit Lions, as they look to gain revenge from a 37-20 beat down by the New York Giants in last year's NFC Championship Game.

    I still don't think the Packers should be laying three points in this spot, but they were seven-point favorites in coming away with a 38-35 regular-season road win over the Giants at MetLife Stadium during the 2011 regular season.

    I'm not getting involved in this contest, or any other involving the Super Bowl champions at this point.

    Las Vegas Line: Green Bay Packers -3

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers, Week 13

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    I believe this is the best spot to fade the Green Bay Packers from a value standpoint in 2012.

    They will be coming off two huge games and playing the first of three consecutive contests against NFC North opponents.

    The oddsmakers may be trying to entice action on the Packers, as they could have easily made the number 14 due to their 45-7 blowout win as 13-point favorites in Week 10 last year.  

    Take the points. 

    Las Vegas Line: Green Bay Packers -13.5

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers, Week 14

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    The last time these two teams met at Lambeau Field, it resulted in one of the wildest Week 17 games in recent memory, with the Green Bay Packers pulling off a 45-41 win as 6.5-point home underdogs.

    There's quite a line disparity in this one, but regular sports bettors will remember that Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers didn't dress for this contest.

    Laying the points is the only option, as the Packers won and covered both games in last season's series by an average of 9.25 points.

    Las Vegas Line: Green Bay Packers -7.5

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears, Week 15

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    There's no trap game to worry about with the Tennessee Titans next on the schedule, but I believe the Green Bay Packers will be out of gas in traveling to the Windy City in Week 15.

    Chicago Bears running back Matt Forte was held to just two yards on nine carries in last year's 27-17 home loss, something that will provide the necessary motivation to spring the mild upset in this spot.

    An underdog with some serious bite.

    Las Vegas Line: Green Bay Packers -3

Tennessee Titans at Green Bay Packers, Week 16

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    We've now reached the point of the season that's very hard to figure, especially in Las Vegas' terms.

    Green Bay is going to have a hard time duplicating its 15-1 regular-season record from a year ago, which could give this out-of-conference tilt some meaning.

    The Tennessee Titans are a definite wild card in the AFC, especially since this will be the team's second year under head coach Mike Munchak.

    I'll wait until Week 16 to get involved.

    Las Vegas Line: Green Bay Packers -11

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings, Week 17

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    The Green Bay Packers picked up a 33-27 victory over the Minnesota Vikings as 10-point favorites in last year's meeting in Minneapolis, which will provide a blue print for the betting odds down the road.

    Las Vegas is smart enough not to release any lines for Week 17, as many of the games will prove to be meaningless at this stage. 

    Las Vegas Line: Not available