Kentucky Derby 2012 Horses: I'll Have Another's Triple Crown Run Predictions

Nicholas Goss@@NicholasGoss35Correspondent IMay 6, 2012

LOUISVILLE, KY - MAY 05:  Mario Gutierrez celebrates atop I'll Have Another after winning the 138th running of the Kentucky Derby ahead of Bodemeister ridden by Mike Smith at Churchill Downs on May 5, 2012 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Travis Lindquist/Getty Images)
Travis Lindquist/Getty Images

You have to go back more than three decades to find a horse who has won the historic Triple Crown (Affirmed in 1978), and this year, it's up to Kentucky Derby winner I'll Have Another to give horse racing fans the moment they have waited so long to witness.

Each leg of the Triple Crown—the Kentucky Derby, the Preakness Stakes and the Belmont Stakes—presents its own challenges, and for I'll Have Another, the biggest test will probably be at the Preakness.

Big Brown was the last of the 21 horses who won the first two legs of the Triple Crown, only to come up short at the Belmont Stakes in 2008.

Can I'll Have Another make history in 2012? Let's check out what some experts are saying.

Jeff Frank of The Miami Herald suggests that the Belmont Stakes will be an easy race for I'll Have Another, while the Preakness could be a real challenge.

Can I'll Have Another become the first Triple Crown winner since Affirmed in 1978?

His breeding suggests the Belmont Stakes at 1 1/2 miles will be a piece of cake. The Preakness, on the other hand, will be the tougher of the two races. On the negative side, he will have to bounce back in two short weeks. On the positive side, he is a fresh horse having raced just twice since February.

LOUISVILLE, KY - MAY 05:  Mario Gutierrez (R) reacts atop I'll Have Another after winning the 138th running of the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 5, 2012 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
Elsa/Getty Images

Bob Ehalt of ESPN New York wrote about the competition I'll Have Another might face at the Preakness. If he has to face Bodemeister again, can I'll Have Another defeat the Bob Baffert-trained horse a second straight time?

As much as I'll Have Another does not have the look of a Triple Crown champion, it will be interesting to see who lines up to face him at the Preakness. Runner-up Bodemeister turned in the most impressive performance in the Derby, but one has to wonder if trainer Bob Baffert will run him on just two weeks rest after such a potentially draining effort.


Chris Korman of The Baltimore Sun is also focused on who I'll Have Another will race in the final.

Of course, [I'll Have Another's] chances at Pimlico depend largely on who he'll face.

So far, this is what we know for sure:

Bob Baffert, trainer for second-place finisher Bodemeister, is undecided on whether he'll bring his speedy colt (who would probably be the favorite). He could also bring Liason, who went off paying 56.20 to win Saturday but finished sixth, or a fresh horse. He said he likely won't make a decision on Bodemeister until next Monday.


Many of the experts seem to think I'll Have Another has the talent and ability to win the Triple Crown and that the field and competition he goes up against could be the difference.

The Preakness Stakes will be a serious test for I'll Have Another, but if he wins that race, there's no question that winning the Belmont Stakes and the Triple Crown will be a real possibility.

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