Kentucky Derby 2012 Weather: Bodemeister, Union Rags Must Fear the Rain Factor

Luis BatlleContributor IMay 5, 2012

LOUISVILLE, KY - MAY 03:  Bodemeister trains on the track in preparation for the 138th Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 3, 2012 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
Rob Carr/Getty Images

Bodemeister and Union Rags have to be breathing a slight sigh of relief as the rain is expected to just miss being a part of the 2012 Kentucky Derby.

This event that has every bit of promise to be a special one could well have a surprise winner Saturday, as rain still has a chance to make itself a part of this year's Run for the Roses.

According to, chances are that the rain doesn't come down, yet that there is a warm front looming about the area.

"At this time, it appears this warm front will remain north of Louisville Saturday. This means it is more likely for Louisville to be hot and humid, than to be menaced by thunderstorms."

Each year, the Kentucky Derby makes for one of the more competitive competitions in all of sports. Yet if there's one factor that always plays a role in determining the outcome, it's the weather.

There is no doubt that the top-notch favorites this year, like Bodemeister, Union Rags and even Gemologist, have a tremendous edge if the track is fast paced and the track conditions stay dry. No question about it.

Yet adding rain to the mix gives other horses, those that may adapt significantly better to the moist track conditions, an outright advantage in this spectacle.

Also according to, currently the conditions are expected to be both hot and humid at the track.

Last year the conditions were especially wet heading into the event, and there is still a chance that this year the event is hit with rain yet again.

Bodemeister and Union Rags will surely be giving the rest of the field a promising finish at this year's competition, yet make no mistake about it: rainfall will give the other horses a shot at glory.