Kentucky Derby Picks: Union Rags and Other Horses with Deceiving Derby Odds
After months (or weeks, or days, or hours, depending who you are) of speculation, the Kentucky Derby is finally here and it's time to start finalizing your bets.
With that being said, there are some horses out there with some very misleading odds, whether they be too high or too low.
Here's a look at which ones you must be weary of when betting your hard-earned money.
Union Rags (9/2)
Union Rags has the second-highest odds, just behind Bodemeister, but I'm having trouble trusting this speedy colt.
First, he's coming off an incredibly disappointing finish at the Grade-1 Florida Derby, a race in which he was heavily favored to win but fell to third place. Michael Matz's horse made a valiant comeback near the end of that race, but unfortunately got bottled up at the beginning and couldn't overcome it.
At the Kentucky Derby, the same will happen.
Union Rags had possibly one of the worst draws of any horse when it received the No. 4 post position. He likes to get outside, but don't be surprised when he gets bottled up near the inside once again.
Take Charge Indy (10/1)
Will Calvin Borel win his fourth Kentucky Derby?
A few days ago, Take Charge Indy's odds were right around 16/1. They've obviously improved, but I still think they are a little deceiving.
In fact, I'm a believer that Take Charge Indy should be a legitimate favorite.
Remember the Florida Derby that Union Rags was so disappointing in? Yeah, Take Charge Indy won that with relative ease.
Throw in the fact that three-time Kentucky Derby winner Calvin Borel is the jockey and he has the No. 3 post position (Borel loves getting to the rail), and you've got my pick to win the Kentucky Derby.
Somehow Gemologist, who is undefeated in five races and two-for-two at Churchill Downs, is being overlooked.
Which horse is going to win?
The incredibly fast horse has the third-best odds of any horse, but I'm honestly a little surprised he doesn't have the best.
Gemologist is coming off an impressive win at the Grade-1 Wood Memorial and has apparently looked very good during pre-race training.
He should be the favorite, not the third favorite.
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