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Dave's College Basketball Picks, Jan. 28: Michigan at Ohio State

dave darbySenior Analyst IJanuary 28, 2009

Michigan (14-6, 4-4) at Ohio State (13-5, 3-4)

 

Line: Ohio State -5

 

Michigan put an end to a three-game losing streak with a nice 68-59 home victory over Northwestern. DeShawn Sims was effective early in the paint, scoring Michigan’s first 11 points, which was much needed.

 

Despite scoring just 12 points in Michigan’s last two games, Manny Harris is still the team's leading scorer at 17.6 points per game. Sims ranks second on the team in scoring, and the two players reverse positions in the rebounding category with Sims in the top spot and Harris second. Michigan faces that danger of having most of its production tied to just two players.

 

Ohio State defeated Michigan in Ann Arbor 65-58 on Jan. 17, which completed a three-game winning streak. The two defeats since have come to Illinois and Michigan State.  Ohio State’s Evan Turner is slightly behind Manny Harris now in numbers, scoring 15.4 a game and pulling down 7.1 boards.

 

 

 

ATS

 

Michigan is 8-6-1 ATS, including 1-4-1 on the road.

Michigan is 3-7 ATS against Ohio State in their last 10 matchups.

Ohio State is 7-7 ATS, including 3-5 at home.

 

Really, these are two evenly matched teams. I think Ohio State has made improvements, but Michigan has the best player on the floor. Improved play by Sims should only open up opportunity for Manny to regain his all-conference form. Michigan really needs this one to have any hope for a tourney bid, as the schedule gets rough after this game. I expect the game to be low scoring and tight.

 

Dave’s Pick: Michigan +5

 

 

 

See all of Dave's College Basketball Picks Against the Spread at cfbplace.com and soon at cbbplace.com.

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