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Winner: Kansas, 66-61
The Kansas Jayhawks will oust No. 1 seed North Carolina for a trip to the Final Four.
The outcome of this Elite Eight matchup rests solely on Kendall Marshall's right wrist.
If Marshall plays effectively, the Tar Heels will come away with the victory.
According to Roy Williams' postgame press conference Friday night, he does not expect Marshall to play on Sunday. We have to assume Williams knows best, so the outcome swings in Kansas' favor.
The Tar Heels barely squeaked by Ohio without their floor general. North Carolina's massive frontcourt did not get easy looks, and Harrison Barnes was virtually nonexistent.
If North Carolina could not handle Marshall's absence against Ohio, what do you expect them to do against Kansas?
Stillman White will be swallowed up by Tyshawn Taylor's lanky, athletic frame. Justin Watts seemed lost running the point, and no Tar Heel guard wants to take the game over when it matters most.
The Jayhawks play stifling defense. Every player defends his position, and understands the team concept. Barnes' dismal Sweet 16 performance does not bode well for the Tar Heels' hopes of cracking the Jayhawk defense.
Offensively, Thomas Robinson is money. The Tar Heels have more than enough size to combat his production, but Robinson will give them all they can handle.
Without Marshall, the Tar Heel offense will sputter. They played without a purpose on the offensive end against Ohio, and that simply will not cut it against an elite team.
Marshall's presence is vital to the Tar Heels' Final Four hopes. Many remain optimistic about his playing status, but you have to question how effective he could be even if he did play.
Robinson and his supporting cast will get the job done, and continue dancing.