2012 Fantasy Baseball: Who Should You Avoid, Target and Will Bounce Back

Kyle Burton@@Kyle_D_BurtonContributor IFebruary 16, 2012

2012 Fantasy Baseball: Who Should You Avoid, Target and Will Bounce Back

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    Part Two

    Still researching for you upcoming fantasy baseball draft?  Find out who are the three to stay away from, three to target and three that will bounce back for you in 2012 fantasy baseball.

    Two of my avoid players hit a combined 50 home runs and drove in over 125 RBI’s last season and are from the positions of second base and shortstop.

    Also included in this article, a guy to target that will have a 20/20 season from the infield position. 

    Look for part three coming out in March.

AVOID: Rickie Weeks, 2B

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    Couple of reason for Weeks being on this list.  The obvious loss of Prince Fielder to the Tigers and the pending loss for 50 games of outfielder Ryan Braun

    Who is going to protect Weeks?  Aramis Ramirez? Mat Gamel?  That is far from the level of Prince and Braun hitting behind you.

    Another nugget of truth is that Weeks has not stolen over 20 bases since 2007 and has only played over 130 games once in his eight year career. 

    With second base being deep this year, you can wait on a second basemen.

AVOID: Any Mets Player

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    Yes, you can make an argument for David Wright or maybe a flyer on Johan Santana, Ike Davis/Lucas Duda. But the more Mets you add you are really scheming yourself.

    Sorry Mr. Met, not this year...

AVOID: J.J. Hardy, SS

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    It is hard to argue what Hardy did last season: .269 batting average 30 home runs and 80 RBI’s in 547 at-bats.

    But don’t judge a player from his most recent year.  In Hardy's previous two season he hit a combined 17 home runs and 75 RBI’s.

    This is more of a red-flag warning than a stay away completely with the depth at shortstop being so scarce.

TARGET: Carlos Santana, C

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    Bright future for this 25 year-old catcher.  Santana showed no signs of that potential devastating knee injury in 2010. 

    Santana could take over Brian McCann as one of the top fantasy catchers for the 2012 season.

    Expect 30 home runs with around 100 RBI’s and a slightly higher batting average from his 2011 season of .239.

TARGET: Ben Zobrist 2B, OF

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    Zobrist has the ability to go 20/20 this season.  Zobrist missed his 20/20 season by one stolen base last year. 

    Zobrist is rated anywhere from seven to 10 at the second base position, and by the end of the year will become a top-five second basemen.  I’m all in with Zobrist and a 20/20 season.

TARGET: Justin Masterson, SP

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    With the scare of shoulder surgery last year, it comes as a relief that it was on his non-pitching shoulder.

    Masterson was the Tribe’s most consistent starter at 12-10 with 3.21 ERA and 158 strikeouts.

    Expect the wins and strikeouts to go up this year.

BOUNCE BACK: Martin Prado, OF, 3B

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    Last year Prado owners definitely were disappointed with his .260 batting average and 57 RBI’s.

    But last season's disappointment is your gain this year.  With the ability to plug in at more than one position (3B/OF) helps his value.

    Expect a bounce back with over a .300 batting average, 15-20 home runs, 70-80 RBI’s and 90-100 runs scored.  Very solid numbers for a later-round pick.

BOUNCE BACK: Evan Longoria, 3B

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    It is hard to say Longoria had a bad year with 31 bombs, but he hit 38 points below his career average of .282.  Longoria’s runs scored and RBI’s took a bit of a dip as well.

    Longoria is the best third basemen in the game and should/will be taken in the first round. 

    Pencil Longoria in for another bigger year.

BOUNCE BACK- Kevin Youkilis 3B

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    One of the weirdest batting stances I have ever seen, but the guy can flat out rake.
    Youk is much better than a .250/17 HR hitter.

    Because of the down year he will be drafted in the later rounds.  But expect bigger numbers in 2012 with a .300 average and over 20 home runs.