The last remaining unbeaten went down last week, when Murray State fell to Tennessee State, but contrary to unpopular belief, the Racers are not in danger of missing the NCAA tournament.
When making blanket statements like that, you must realize that everything is relative, as in a team's chances are relative to the strength of teams on the bubble, and those teams—like always—are not very strong.
As always, I am not trying to guess how teams will finish the year. I am simply seeding them based on their current résumés.
I like to break teams down into three categories:
1. Wallflowers are bubble teams because everyone wants to go to the big dance, but not all have the guts to ask a girl out on the dance floor.
2. Elite teams that are safely in the field are dancing with a hottie.
3. In the middle are the schools that are dancing with their sister.
Last year, I had the most accurate bracket projections in the country, correctly predicting 67 of 68 teams and once again finishing way ahead of ESPN's Joe Lunardi.
I'll begin with the two first four at-large bid games:
(12a) Xavier vs. (12d) Iowa State
(12b) Arizona vs. (12c) BYU
First 11 Teams Out: Arkansas, Colorado State, Texas, Ole Miss, NC State, Wyoming, Washington, Oregon, Massachusetts, South Florida, Colorado
The projections are presented in slideshow format, with slides consisting of the major conferences. First up is the ACC.