Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images
Known for a violent aggressive swing Guerrero also will be remembered for a fantastic arm in the outfield.
They're not my "locks" per se.
What I mean by that is the list you're reading isn't based on a personal wish list for the Hall of Fame. It's been formulated by looking at past inductees and current players and then calculating that there are comparable players already residing in the Hall of Fame, so it would be safe to suggest that those on this list will as well.
Then again, when I looked over Vladimir Guerrero's numbers, I realized something: He really should make the Hall of Fame.
Among the numerous questions worth asking oneself when trying to determine Hall of Fame potential there are a few keys:
"Are there comparable players already in the Hall?"
"Has the player crossed statistical thresholds that would suggest he's a lock?"
"Was the player a dominant player at his position for a decent period of time?"
Unfortunately there's also one more now as well: "Has this player's accomplishments been tainted by accusations or positive tests for performance-enhancing drugs?"
With regards to Guerrero the answers are, in order: yes, no, yes, no.
That's a good series of results when assessing his Hall of Fame potential.
If Andre Dawson and Kirby Puckett are both in the Hall of Fame, then Guerrero would seem a natural and easy selection.
After all, Guerrero has more hits than either of them. He has a .318 career batting average which is outstanding and matches Puckett, but Guerrero's career OPS of .931 dwarfs both Dawson's (.806) and Puckett's (.837).
Guerrero won an MVP Award; Dawson won one also. Puckett never won an MVP but Puckett's postseason heroics may have pushed him over the top. He needed it too, since Puckett's 207 home runs and 1,085 runs batted in are easily eclipsed by Dawson's 438/1,591 and Guerrero's 449/1,496.
It's also important to note that while Guerrero was not as good an all-around fielder as Puckett, he was better than Dawson and when Guerrero patrolled the outfield, he did so with one of the most feared outfield arms in all of baseball. At one point in his career Guerrero had hit over .300 12 seasons in a row. Puckett's entire career was 12 seasons.
Guerrero will make it to Cooperstown.