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This postseason, B/R college football writers are teaming up to preview every bowl game. Be sure to check them all out! No. 21 Missouri (9-4) vs. No. 23 Northwestern (9-3) Monday, Dec...

Missouri-Northwestern: The Complete Valero Alamo Bowl Guide

by Michael Cline (Columnist)

10

1,294 reads

Preview/Prediction

December 28, 2008


This postseason, B/R college football writers are teaming up to preview every bowl game. Be sure to check them all out!

 

No. 21 Missouri (9-4) vs. No. 23 Northwestern (9-3)

Monday, Dec. 29, 2008, 8:00 PM ET

Alamodome, San Antonio, TX

Spread: Missouri -12


How they got here...

The Missouri Tigers started the season off with a Sports Illustrated cover and a pre-season No. 6 ranking.

With proficient play early by quarterback and Heisman hopeful Chase Daniel, the Tigers were ranked as high as No. 3 in the AP Poll before losing to fellow Big 12 member Oklahoma State.

With another loss a week later to the Texas Longhorns, Missouri was in desperate need of a win if they were to make it to the Big 12 Championship Game.

They did just that, winning their next four outings. But in the season finale, they lost yet another heartbreaking game to Kansas.

Missouri won the Big 12 North title and faced off against Big 12 South champion Oklahoma. The Sooners' offense proved to be too much for the Tigers, and Missouri lost their fourth game of the season and would settle for a trip to the Alamodome in the post-season.

The Northwestern Wildcats were one of the biggest surprises in all of college football. After finishing a dismal 6-6 a season ago, the 'Cats fought their way to a very impressive 9-3 record.

Northwestern began their season a perfect 5-0 before falling to a ranked Michigan State team. The Wildcats' other two losses came from Indiana and Ohio State.

Most impressive in the win department was the one they pulled off in Minnesota. The Wildcats came out of the No. 17-ranked Golden Gophers home with a 24-17 victory.

In another road win, Northwestern handed Michigan their eighth loss of the season, beating them for the first time since 2000.

 

Statistically speaking...

Missouri's story is their offense. The Tigers are ranked 6th in Total Yards (offensive), 4th in Passing Yards, and 6th in Points Scored.

Chase Daniel has 4,135 yards passing, completing nearly 75 percent of his attempts. On the ground, Derrick Washington is eight yards short of 1,000 and is averaging 6.1 yards per carry.

Thankfully, Northwestern's offense will have star running back Tyrell Sutton back from injury. In eight games, Sutton racked up 776 yards and averaged 5 yards per carry.

On the defensive side, the Wildcats only gave up 19 points per game.

 

Missouri wins if...

...Chase Daniel doesn't turn over the ball. Daniels attempted fewer passes this year, yet he managed to throw four more interceptions. The Tiger losses this year were due mainly to costly turnovers. Northwestern is hungry and will take every inch given to them.

 

Northwestern wins if...

...they capitalize off of Missouri's mistakes. Northwestern is completely outmatched on paper, but paper doesn't factor in heart. Northwestern hasn't won a bowl game since the 1949 Rose Bowl. This group of men play hard and are hungry to be the team that makes history at their beloved University.

 

B/R Expert Picks:

Trey Bradley             Missouri

Lisa Horne                Missouri

Mitch                      Northwestern

Brian Scott               Missouri

David Wunderlich       Missouri

Justin Goar               Missouri

GeorgiaDawg             Missouri

Michael Cline             Northwestern

Author Poll

Who wins the Alamo Bowl?

  • Missouri
  • Northwestern
vote to see results
Author Poll Results

Who wins the Alamo Bowl?

  • Missouri

    70.7%
  • Northwestern

    29.3%
  • Total votes: 92
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10 comments Last one added 6 months ago — Leave a Comment

  1. ...

    Bernie: Go Davey Crockett!

    Pat: I love the coon skin hat!

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  2. ...

    It's funny that you called our 6-6 record last year "dismal." At Northwestern, a 6-6 record is worthy of dancing in the streets.

    When I attended, we went 0-11 in my freshman AND junior years!

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      haha You're right! 6-6 is a pretty good year. I've always like NW and hope they can keep up with this season on a regular basis.

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  3. ...

    Excellent report by an excellent writer.

    Great work.

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  4. ...

    well think that northwestern covers the spread

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    northwestern will be able to run all evening insuring an "Under" in this one. n.u. fans are pissed that iowa, who they beat at iowa, got an invitation to a "bigger" bowl. n.u. has a realistic "chance" for an outright win here...i am NOT an n.u. alum!

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      You were almost right, although not for the reasons that you said. Mizzou shut down Northwestern's run game to a screeching halt. Fortunately, Mizzou has a horrendous pass defense that allowed Northwestern to keep eating clock time up with first downs. Northwestern game planned very well...Mizzou didn't. They kept Daniel off the field. They chewed up clock. They passed the ball. They did just about everything that they could to win. In the end, talent beat game planning.

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  6. ...

    i was very surprised that n.u. ran almost exclusively up the gut and made virtually no effort to run wide. i also think the young n.u. coach made a tactical error by not eating up clock while the cats were ahead. in any case, it was a very exciting game to watch and n.u. and under bettors got the cash...

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