Bowl Projections: Odds for the Top 5 BCS National Championship Scenarios
We are a week away from seeing the final BCS standings announced. With the final standings determining who is playing in the national championship game, it seems like a foregone conclusion that the title game will be Alabama vs. LSU.
However, we have seen crazier things happen in the final BCS standings. Back in 2007, LSU was ranked No. 7 the week leading up to the final BCS standings. They leaped over five teams to land at No. 2 to play Ohio State for the BCS national title.
Will that happen again this year? Who knows, but here are the odds to these five potential BCS title games.
Notre: Odds for teams are from Bet Vega's website.
No. 5 LSU vs. Stanford
Odds on Stanford playing in BCS Title Game: Stanford +3000
Will this happen? No.
However, if Virginia Tech and Oklahoma State lose in their conference championship game and their final game of the regular season, it puts Stanford potentially right behind Alabama. If that is the case and there are people who do not want to see a rematch between Alabama and LSU, they will throw their votes to The Cardinal.
However, they are No. 4 in the Harris Poll and No. 5 in the USA Today poll. With a loss to Va. Tech an Oklahoma State, they would vault to No. 3 in both polls. But they will need a lot of help from the computer portion of the BCS formula to get them into the title game.
No. 4 LSU vs. Virginia Tech
Odds on Virginia Tech Playing in BCS Title Game: Virginia Tech +4000
The Hokies will benefit from a blowout win in their ACC Championship game and a loss to Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma. They would get in by voters who do not want to see LSU vs. Alabama for a second time.
While the Hokies would move into No. 3 in the Harris and USA Today polls, they would need a lot of help from the computer portion. As of this week, the Hokies have an average of sixth in the computer section of the BCS formula.
No. 3 Oklahoma State vs. Alabama
Odds on Oklahoma State and Alabama Playing in BCS Title Game: Alabama -110 Oklahoma State +700
This only happens if LSU losses big in the SEC Championship game. However, LSU is No. 1 in every BCS ranking and has such a stranglehold on the top spot that only Oklahoma State and Alabama could move the Tigers from the top spot.
If LSU would lose big to Georgia, they could get moved to No. 3 in the Harris and USA Today polls, while staying at No. 2 in the computer portion.
This would move Alabama to No. 1 and Oklahoma State to No. 2 and be our new national title game.
No. 2 Oklahoma State vs. LSU
Odds on Oklahoma State making the BCS Title Game: Oklahoma State +700
If Alabama is passed over for the BCS title game, it will be for Oklahoma State. The Cowboys will be ranked at No. 3 in the Harris and USA Today polls, while keeping their No. 2 ranking in the computer portion of the BCS standings.
Let's say Oklahoma State blows out Oklahoma this week. The coaches who vote in the USA Today poll could push the Cowboys over Alabama, which could push the Crimson Tide out of the No. 2 spot in the last BCS standings.
No. 1 Alabama vs. LSU
Odds on LSU vs. Alabama in the BCS Title Game: Alabama -110 LSU +125
More than likely, this will be our BCS National Championship game on January 9th in the Superdome. These are the best two teams in college football and are No. 1 and 2 in the Harris and USA Today polls.
Alabama is No. 3 in the computer portion of the BCS standings and could get leaped by Oklahoma State for the No. 2 spot in the BCS standings.
However, even with an Oklahoma State win against Oklahoma, it should not be enough to unseat them for a spot in the national title game.