College Football Picks Week 10: Saturday Betting Trends Everyone Needs to Know

Jeff GrantContributor INovember 1, 2011

College Football Picks Week 10: Saturday Betting Trends Everyone Needs to Know

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    Professional sports bettors have many different ways of coming up with their picks each week, and often times, a powerful trend will be the difference.

    It's always important to handicap a game and its matchups first before moving on to find items that give your selections added strength.

    Let's take a closer look at 10 games from a betting perspective that feature dominating betting trends.

Indiana at Ohio State (-27.5)

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    The Ohio State Buckeyes are coming off consecutive victories over teams that were ranked when they played them, including a 33-29 win over the Wisconsin Badgers as 7.5-point home underdogs.

    It served as the third straight victory against the spread as an underdog.

    The favorite in this particular series is 6-0 against the spread (ATS) in the last six meetings, while the Hoosiers are 1-4 ATS as a road underdog of 10.5 or more points.

Michigan (-4) at Iowa

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    The Michigan Wolverines are road favorites versus the Iowa Hawkeyes for the first time since Oct. 4, 2003, which is usually a situation that I look to play against.

    It's important to note that the underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this Big 10 Conference rivalry, but the Wolverines have been outstanding favorites this year.

    Iowa is also 0-4-1 ATS in its last five November contests.

Northwestern at Nebraska (-17.5)

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    All aboard the Nebraska Cornhuskers bandwagon coming into this Saturday's Big Ten contest against the Northwestern Wildcats.

    Somebody should tell the fans in Lincoln to potentially shy away from making a wager on this game, especially with Northwestern coming in with a 12-3 ATS mark as a road underdog.

    Nebraska is also a terrible 1-10-1 ATS as a home favorite of 10.5 or more points.

Texas A&M at Oklahoma (-13.5)

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    Very surprising line considering that the Texas A&M Aggies scored a 33-19 win over the Oklahoma Sooners as 4.5-point home underdogs last year.

    The betting odds may be inflated due to the Sooners coming off a resounding 58-17 blowout win over the Kansas State Wildcats last week as 13-point road favorites.

    It may have more to do with the home team being 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

Stanford (-21) at Oregon State

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    Stanford Cardinal quarterback Andrew Luck may need to will his team to victory this week after coming off a triple-overtime thriller against the USC Trojans.

    That's bad news for bettors looking to back the only undefeated team against the spread this year—based on the closing line.

    The Cardinal are 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings against the Oregon State Beavers, while the host also checks in with a 4-1 ATS mark when getting 10.5 or more points in front of the home fans.

South Carolina at Arkansas (-5)

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    The Arkansas Razorbacks were sluggish in picking up consecutive wins on the road over Mississippi and Vanderbilt, but that will likely change when facing a higher-caliber opponent at home.

    South Carolina hasn't performed well in this series, dropping five of the last six meetings in Arkansas.

    Bettors may elect to fade the Gamecocks this week after they survived a 14-3 contest against the Tennessee Volunteers last week without star running back Marcus Lattimore.

    The Razorbacks are also on a five-game run of covering the number when favored by 3.5 to 10 points.

LSU at Alabama (-4.5)

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    LSU Tigers head coach Les Miles probably wish Saturday's game was being played in October, coming in with a 3-12 ATS mark in his last 15 November games.

    The road team is 11-3-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings, but the favorite is also on a solid 6-2-1 ATS run.

    I suggest taking a look at my selection for this weekend's SEC showdown.

Oregon (-16) at Washington

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    The Oregon Ducks ran off six consecutive spread victories in their series with the Washington Huskies until the oddsmakers inflated the price in last year's contest.

    It still resulted in a push at the betting window, with Oregon coming away with a 53-16 win as 37-point home favorites.

    The favorite is 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these Pac-12 Conference rivals.

Virginia (-1.5) at Maryland

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    The early betting has moved the Virginia Cavaliers into a role of road favorite, which is a money-burning situation.

    Virginia is 0-4 ATS as a road favorite of three points or less, while also dropping seven consecutive games against the number when playing at any venue at that particular price.

    Maryland gains strength in this situation with the home team being 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

Southern Miss (-8.5) at East Carolina

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    The East Carolina Pirates are 7-1 ATS as a home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points, but that gets wiped out by the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles being 12-5 ATS as a road favorite.

    Bettors will find that the road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, which fits nicely with the Golden Eagles being 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games in East Carolina.