BCS Rankings Week 9: Boise State Doesn't Deserve to Be No. 4
There must be something about that blue turf. Once again, Boise State is a BCS buster, jumping past teams into the top five. So, the Broncos are undefeated at 7-0 and have crushed some teams, winning with two 50 point differentials against Fresno State (57-7) and Colorado State (63-13).
But, despite their early season win against a marquee team—spinning heads yet again—their No. 4 ranking bumps out teams that should sit where they are.
The Broncos only ranked opponent was now No. 19 Georgia in the first game of the season. They have not faced any other ranked opponents and face few challenges in the remainder of their regular season.
With such a weak schedule, it seems ludicrous that they are ranked among opponents like Kansas State, who are seeing the likes of five ranked opponents.
Get By with a Little Help from Their Foes
Boise State's advanced in the rankings with a huge boost from other teams losses, not necessarily their own wins. Oklahoma and Wisconsin's losses dropped them dramatically, meaning the Broncos might not be responsible for paving their own success in the rankings.
The Sooners dropped from No. 3 to No. 9, while the Badgers dropped from No. 6 to No. 15, allowing some headway to be made for the Broncos.
If we remove the Coaches Poll and and Harris Polls, the BCS rankings are compiled of six computer rankings. The numbers are complex and involve far too much math for football.
But, looking at BCS average, Boise State is at .8302, Clemson, .8240 and Stanford, .8124 That means, only 0.0178 separates the Broncos from the Cardinal.
If both the Tigers and the Cardinal win out, they will jump ahead of Boise State and stand where they rightfully should.
What Could Happen
One of the biggest inaccuracies of the Broncos' high ranking is the probability of what could happen for them based on their current No. 4 spot.
If Oklahoma State, Stanford and Clemson all lose and Boise State remains unbeaten, that would leave them and the winner of LSU vs. Alabama at the top of the polls.
Fortunate for the Broncos, but fair?