BCS 2011: Mathematical Prediction of the Upcoming BCS Poll

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BCS 2011: Mathematical Prediction of the Upcoming BCS Poll
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

Regardless of how you feel about the Bowl Championship Series, it's still the system we have to use to determine which teams compete in the BCS National Championship game to crown this year's champion.

It's also used to select the participants in the four major bowl games—Fiesta, Orange, Rose, and Sugar.

Unfortunately, the initial BCS rankings won't be release until October 16, so most fans just assume we have to wait and see before we know where our favorite teams will end up.

Luckily, I'm here to show you that through a little simple numerical analysis, the BCS rankings can be predicted using the same methodology that is used to calculate them.

There are three factors that are equally weighted when calculating the BCS rankings—the Harris Poll, the Coaches' Poll, and the composite of six computer polls.

The Harris Poll has not yet been released, nor has one of the six computer polls—the Peter Wolfe computer rankings.

However, using the six polls that are available out of the eight that will eventually be used, we can calculate what the BCS will look like based on those numbers.

Before I give you the Top-12 BCS rankings, I'm going to provide a few details as to how the rankings are calculated.

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