Boise State vs Toledo: Game Preview, Over/Under, Spread, Predictions and TV Info

Joseph HealyCorrespondent ISeptember 16, 2011

ATLANTA, GA - SEPTEMBER 03:  Kellen Moore #11 of the Boise State Broncos huddles with his offense against the Georgia Bulldogs at Georgia Dome on September 3, 2011 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

Coming off a rousing win over Georgia two weeks ago, Boise State will be eager to get back out on the field to build on that victory.

Toledo just missed pulling off a massive upset at Ohio State last week. They will certainly be eager to get back out there and scare another highly-ranked team.

On paper, we have a huge mismatch, but if nothing else, Toledo has shown that they can't be overlooked.

When and Where

The game will take place at the Glass Bowl in Toledo, Ohio. and is set to kickoff at 8 p.m. EST Friday night, broadcast nationally on ESPN.


The over/under for this game according to Bodog, but passed along by, is 61 points. If you're betting on this game, go with the over and don't look back.

You know that Boise will get their points and Toledo proved last week that they can put some points on the board.


The spread, as set by Bodog once again, is Boise by 20.5 points. I'm generally not a fan of taking the favorite when the line is that big, but in this case, I would advise you to.  

Based on what they did last week, Boise won't take the Rockets lightly and because of the position they are in outside of a BCS conference, they have to win by big margins over teams like Toledo to look good for the polls. Chris Peterson is known for not running up the score, but he may not be able to avoid it in this game with how much better his guys will be.

Key Injuries

For Boise State, fullback Dan Paul is doubtful. Tight end Chandler Koch is questionable to play. Left guard Joe Kellogg, who was injured in the Georgia game, is day-to-day and Ebo Makinde, a cornerback, will play.

For Toledo, linebacker and team leader Dan Molls will not play.

BCS/Top 25 Poll Implications

The Broncos have a lot to lose and very little to gain in this game. A loss will send them tumbling down the top 25 and likely out of contention for a BCS game.

As far as Toledo goes, it won't have any effect right now, but it could in the future. They are among the favorites to be MAC champions when it's all said and done. If the wins pile up for them, a win against Boise will make them more attractive to voters.

Keys to a Boise State Win

Boise simply needs to play their brand of football. That sounds like a trite cliche, but it's true. If Kellen Moore stays away from interceptions, as he usually does, and the defense makes plays, getting a win won't be a problem

Keys to a Toledo Win

Toledo must get the ball in the hands of wide receiver Eric Page. He is the one player that can compete with the talent that Boise will have on the field. If the Rockets can get the ball to him in space, they have a shot to make some plays. If Page is a non-factor, this game will get out of hand quickly.


Beaming with confidence after putting a scare in Ohio State, Toledo comes out hot and gets the ball to Eric Page, who will make some plays. Once Boise settles down, though, the Broncos' talent will shine through.

Boise State Over Toledo 56-13