Mitch's Week 13 College Football Picks: Part Four

Mitch WilsonSenior Writer INovember 21, 2008

When we are watching College Football tonight we need to keep in mind that there are only a few weeks left in the season and we should enjoy every moment of it.

Tonight's match ups leave a lot to be desired but as is always the case, if it's a weeknight game, I'm going to take a stab at it. Not sure why ESPN couldn't have moved the Louisville-WVU game to Friday or something similar but who knows, maybe they think we like watching Pat Hill's bunch showing us how not to teach kids how to tackle.

In any event the free newsletter will go out today and with any luck I'll get it out a lot earlier than normal. Jordan has two picks again in it this week in the newsletter and one of them is a PAC-10 game which he has been nailing all season long like going three out of three last week including the two he gave in the free newsletter.

I am hoping that next season I'll be sending it out on Thursday nights so you can catch the best lines possible if you are into that sort of thing. I have been getting all of the entries for the free picking contest as well and if you haven't heard back from me it just means I haven't had time to enter it yet.

I should be able to get to it shortly and for those of you who haven't registered, you still have time and you are going to want to at least get registered as the bowl picking contest will be our biggest and best yet and a nice way to round out our first College Football season.

If the site is getting slow please let me know. I am not a tech person (I don't know how to text on a cell phone) but I am learning what bandwidth means along with other terms as we had over 12,500 unique visitors yesterday and it just gets bigger every day.

We are dealing with all of this stuff the best we can but it it is a growth process and I am hoping to do a few things like the College Hoops site everyone has been asking us to do sooner rather than later. I have more to add but I will just talk about it in the newsletter and as things become firmer.

In any event we have some football to play and talk about and here are tonight's match ups along with a few more for tomorrow.

San Jose State +3 1/2 Vs. Fresno State (Friday 11/21/08, 9:30 EST) 5 out of 10

What we have here is a rivalry game that most people in the Eastern part of the country and even beyond that don't know is a rivalry. This is a match up of two different styles, for Fresno State they try and get it done with offense.

While the Bulldogs rank 29th in points scored and 31st in yards gained, they have troubles with the fundamentals, more specifically, tackling. Fresno ranks 96th in yards allowed 90th in points allowed and this is where their problems have been this season. For San Jose State, it is the exact opposite, all defense and no offense.

The Spartans come in ranked 34th in yards allowed and and 38th in points allowed but ranked North of a hundred in all of the major offensive categories. I would think SJSU tries to keep this low scoring and create chances for their offense to pull out the win at home.

San Jose State has gone 5-5 against the spread this season while Fresno State has been a disappointing 1-9 against the number. The favorite in this game has covered the last five times but the home team has gone 5-1 in the last six against the spread.

San Jose State definitely plays better at home going 9-2 against the spread in their last 11but are 0-4 against the spread in their last 4 conference games and haven't covered in their last four overall. Fresno State doesn't usually play well in these Friday night tilts going 0-6 against the spread.

The Bulldogs are also just 3-12 against the spread when playing a team with a winning record and and 0-4 against the spread in their last four road games. I look for Fresno State's disappointing season to continue tonight as the Spartans cover at home.

See the rest of Mitch's Week 13 Part 4 College Football Picks Against The Spread